Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Caisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel de Normandie-Seine Société coopérative (CCN.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$211.45 - $312.02$259.66
Multi-Stage$380.06 - $418.02$398.67
Blended Fair Value$329.16
Current Price$99.20
Upside231.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS34.15%0.09%2.422.300.460.970.320.561.262.562.462.47
YoY Growth--4.91%396.23%-52.01%198.93%-41.83%-56.01%-50.62%4.00%-0.45%3.33%
Dividend Yield--2.84%2.95%0.68%1.05%0.29%0.35%0.97%2.12%2.40%2.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)162.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)42.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)120.48
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)32.5820.3612.22
Cash Retained (M)120.48120.48120.48
(-) Cash Required (M)-32.58-20.36-12.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)87.90100.12108.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.056.056.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share14.5216.5417.88
LTM Dividend per Share7.017.017.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share14.5216.5417.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend21.5323.5524.89
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$211.45$259.66$312.02
Upside / Downside113.16%161.75%214.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)162.92161.29159.67158.08156.50154.93159.58
Payout Ratio26.05%38.84%51.63%64.42%77.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)42.4362.6482.44101.83120.83139.44147.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)57.4258.0158.60
Year 2 PV (M)69.2870.7072.14
Year 3 PV (M)78.4680.8883.36
Year 4 PV (M)85.3588.8892.53
Year 5 PV (M)90.2994.9999.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,919.822,019.792,123.88
Equity Value (M)2,300.622,413.262,530.39
Shares Outstanding (M)6.056.056.05
Fair Value$380.06$398.67$418.02
Upside / Downside283.13%301.88%321.39%

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