Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Gerdau S.A. (GGBR3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$75.82 - $294.55$212.77
Multi-Stage$36.55 - $39.97$38.23
Blended Fair Value$125.50
Current Price$16.61
Upside655.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS27.89%13.79%0.821.322.912.640.140.240.300.040.040.18
YoY Growth---38.27%-54.46%10.34%1,842.92%-43.24%-19.18%593.51%0.49%-76.00%-21.29%
Dividend Yield--5.05%7.13%13.80%10.78%0.57%2.99%2.32%0.34%0.49%3.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,001.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,355.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,646.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)600.24375.15225.09
Cash Retained (M)1,646.151,646.151,646.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-600.24-375.15-225.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,045.911,271.001,421.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,026.322,026.322,026.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.520.630.70
LTM Dividend per Share0.670.670.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.520.630.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.181.301.37
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$75.82$212.77$294.55
Upside / Downside356.48%1,180.95%1,673.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,001.203,196.273,404.033,625.293,860.944,111.904,235.26
Payout Ratio45.15%54.12%63.09%72.06%81.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,355.051,729.832,147.612,612.393,128.523,700.713,917.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.15%7.15%7.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,599.261,614.421,629.58
Year 2 PV (M)1,835.641,870.601,905.90
Year 3 PV (M)2,064.362,123.622,184.01
Year 4 PV (M)2,285.612,373.512,463.92
Year 5 PV (M)2,499.572,620.302,745.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)63,780.7566,861.3870,059.92
Equity Value (M)74,065.2077,463.8480,988.98
Shares Outstanding (M)2,026.322,026.322,026.32
Fair Value$36.55$38.23$39.97
Upside / Downside120.06%130.16%140.63%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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