DDM Analysis: MC

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$52.60 - $106.32	$73.38
Multi-Stage	$42.82 - $46.55	$44.65
Blended Fair Value	$59.02
Current Price	$71.32
Upside	-17.25%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-56.91%	-39.30%	0.04	2.32	2.23	6.11	3.60	2.66	4.00	3.26	1.97	1.03
YoY Growth	-	-	-98.29%	4.30%	-63.61%	69.65%	35.25%	-33.35%	22.74%	65.28%	91.21%	-82.32%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.07%	4.13%	5.79%	13.02%	6.57%	9.48%	9.26%	6.41%	5.12%	3.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	234.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	201.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)	33.09

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	46.91	29.32	17.59
Cash Retained (M)	33.09	33.09	33.09
(-) Cash Required (M)	-46.91	-29.32	-17.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-13.82	3.77	15.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	78.49	78.49	78.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.18	0.05	0.20
LTM Dividend per Share	2.57	2.57	2.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.18	0.05	0.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.39	2.61	2.76
WACC / Discount Rate	10.30%	10.30%	10.30%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$52.60	$73.38	$106.32
Upside / Downside	-26.25%	2.89%	49.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	234.57	249.82	266.06	283.35	301.77	321.38	331.02
Payout Ratio	85.89%	86.71%	87.54%	88.36%	89.18%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	201.48	216.63	232.89	250.36	269.11	289.24	306.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.30%	10.30%	10.30%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	194.56	196.41	198.25
Year 2 PV (M)	187.87	191.45	195.06
Year 3 PV (M)	181.39	186.59	191.90
Year 4 PV (M)	175.11	181.85	188.77
Year 5 PV (M)	169.04	177.21	185.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,453.03	2,571.51	2,694.53
Equity Value (M)	3,361.00	3,505.01	3,654.19
Shares Outstanding (M)	78.49	78.49	78.49
Fair Value	$42.82	$44.65	$46.55
Upside / Downside	-39.96%	-37.39%	-34.72%

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300452.SZ	Anhui Sunhere Pharmaceutical Excipients Co.,Ltd.	2.43%	$0.33	58.46%
603599.SS	Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.28	35.02%
605286.SS	Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.99	75.51%
9569.SR	Almuneef Company for Trade, Industry, Agriculture and Contracting	2.43%	$0.20	19.26%
ALV	Autoliv, Inc.	2.43%	$2.97	30.32%
KEPEN.AT	Flour Mills Kepenos S.A.	2.43%	$0.05	39.82%
MSAB-B.ST	Micro Systemation AB (publ)	2.43%	$1.50	65.33%
NEOE3.SA	Neoenergia S.A.	2.43%	$0.77	21.26%
OV8.SI	Sheng Siong Group Ltd	2.43%	$0.06	66.54%
VIL.PA	VIEL & Cie, S.A.	2.43%	$0.40	12.44%
002236.SZ	Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.46	38.43%
006730.KQ	Seobu T&D Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$309.73	27.66%
071050.KS	Korea Investment Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$3,984.93	13.09%
0DQK.L	Beter Bed Holding N.V.	2.42%	$0.15	53.98%
2409.TW	AUO Corporation	2.42%	$0.31	41.22%
300453.SZ	Jiangxi Sanxin Medtec Co.,Ltd.	2.42%	$0.21	45.08%
600064.SS	Nanjing Gaoke Company Limited	2.42%	$0.21	15.60%
601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
9550.SR	Sure Global Tech Company	2.42%	$1.52	28.67%
9562.SR	Foods Gate Trading Co.	2.42%	$0.67	13.40%
AEONTS-R.BK	AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company Limited	2.42%	$2.60	21.04%
NMAN.ST	Nederman Holding AB (publ)	2.42%	$4.00	47.45%
SALIK.AE	Salik Company P.J.S.C.	2.42%	$0.16	83.74%
SKMO.ST	Skåne-möllan AB (publ)	2.42%	$1.40	96.86%
001130.KS	Daehan Flour Mills Co.,Ltd	2.41%	$3,470.92	10.83%
080160.KQ	Modetour Network Inc.	2.41%	$249.37	24.80%
0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
BORG.ST	Björn Borg AB (publ)	2.41%	$1.50	43.49%
EIOF.OL	Eidesvik Offshore ASA	2.41%	$0.30	28.32%
ETTE.HE	Etteplan Oyj	2.41%	$0.23	71.21%
ZZ-B.ST	Zinzino AB (publ)	2.41%	$3.76	58.64%
002968.SZ	New Dazheng Property Group Co., Ltd.	2.40%	$0.29	59.28%
0NZN.L	Robertet S.A.	2.40%	$21.10	23.60%
4015.SR	Jamjoom Pharmaceuticals Factory Company	2.40%	$3.46	54.14%
7703.TWO	Rayzher	2.40%	$5.49	59.71%
BBL.AX	Brisbane Broncos Limited	2.40%	$0.04	25.15%
002158.SZ	Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.60	60.14%
004690.KS	Samchully Co.,Ltd	2.39%	$3,000.02	10.30%
0GVS.L	Catena AB (publ)	2.39%	$8.76	32.84%
300577.SZ	Anhui Korrun Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.51	36.22%
3044.TW	Tripod Technology Corporation	2.39%	$7.48	42.14%
603080.SS	Xinjiang Torch Gas Co., Ltd	2.39%	$0.57	43.55%
6780.TWO	Study King Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.80	89.60%
6804.T	Hosiden Corporation	2.39%	$59.44	25.81%
KBLM.JK	PT Kabelindo Murni Tbk	2.39%	$8.08	12.05%
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Financial Statements

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Moelis & Company (MC)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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