DDM Analysis: MC

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$52.60 - $106.32	$73.38
Multi-Stage	$42.82 - $46.55	$44.65
Blended Fair Value	$59.02
Current Price	$71.32
Upside	-17.25%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-56.91%	-39.30%	0.04	2.32	2.23	6.11	3.60	2.66	4.00	3.26	1.97	1.03
YoY Growth	-	-	-98.29%	4.30%	-63.61%	69.65%	35.25%	-33.35%	22.74%	65.28%	91.21%	-82.32%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.07%	4.13%	5.79%	13.02%	6.57%	9.48%	9.26%	6.41%	5.12%	3.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	234.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	201.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)	33.09

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	46.91	29.32	17.59
Cash Retained (M)	33.09	33.09	33.09
(-) Cash Required (M)	-46.91	-29.32	-17.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-13.82	3.77	15.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	78.49	78.49	78.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.18	0.05	0.20
LTM Dividend per Share	2.57	2.57	2.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.18	0.05	0.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.39	2.61	2.76
WACC / Discount Rate	10.30%	10.30%	10.30%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$52.60	$73.38	$106.32
Upside / Downside	-26.25%	2.89%	49.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	234.57	249.82	266.06	283.35	301.77	321.38	331.02
Payout Ratio	85.89%	86.71%	87.54%	88.36%	89.18%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	201.48	216.63	232.89	250.36	269.11	289.24	306.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.30%	10.30%	10.30%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	194.56	196.41	198.25
Year 2 PV (M)	187.87	191.45	195.06
Year 3 PV (M)	181.39	186.59	191.90
Year 4 PV (M)	175.11	181.85	188.77
Year 5 PV (M)	169.04	177.21	185.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,453.03	2,571.51	2,694.53
Equity Value (M)	3,361.00	3,505.01	3,654.19
Shares Outstanding (M)	78.49	78.49	78.49
Fair Value	$42.82	$44.65	$46.55
Upside / Downside	-39.96%	-37.39%	-34.72%

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NOKIA.HE	Nokia Oyj	2.49%	$0.14	65.00%
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081000.KS	Iljin Diamond Co.,Ltd	2.48%	$298.16	39.09%
2489.HK	Persistence Resources Group Ltd	2.48%	$0.03	48.82%
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5474.TWO	Yuan High-Tech Development Co., Ltd.	2.48%	$3.99	63.53%
6665.TWO	Healthconn Corp.	2.48%	$0.51	86.65%
7276.T	Koito Manufacturing Co., Ltd.	2.48%	$57.37	33.13%
BREB.BR	Brederode S.A.	2.48%	$2.66	20.88%
ICBP.JK	PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk	2.48%	$200.00	25.69%
ILU.AX	Iluka Resources Limited	2.48%	$0.15	13.66%
LOXLEY.BK	Loxley Public Company Limited	2.48%	$0.03	32.70%
203450.KQ	UNION biometrics Co., Ltd.	2.47%	$77.45	17.43%
300138.SZ	ChenGuang Biotech Group Co., Ltd.	2.47%	$0.31	44.10%
600854.SS	Jiangsu chunlan refrigerating equipment stock co.,ltd.	2.47%	$0.12	53.56%
601108.SS	Caitong Securities Co.,Ltd.	2.47%	$0.22	38.34%
ACTINVRB.MX	Corporación Actinver, S. A. B. de C. V.	2.47%	$0.55	16.64%
ALCIS.PA	Catering International & Services S.A.	2.47%	$0.34	26.64%
QBR-A.TO	Quebecor Inc.	2.47%	$1.37	38.63%
U13.SI	United Overseas Insurance Limited	2.47%	$0.19	47.92%
002415.SZ	Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., Ltd.	2.46%	$0.74	51.16%
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300144.SZ	Songcheng Performance Development Co.,Ltd	2.46%	$0.20	66.36%
300257.SZ	Kaishan Group Co., Ltd.	2.46%	$0.35	85.09%
4452.T	Kao Corporation	2.46%	$153.90	58.66%
6530.TWO	Axcen Photonics Corporation	2.46%	$1.53	82.52%
6571.T	QB Net Holdings Co.,Ltd.	2.46%	$34.31	43.61%
7298.T	Yachiyo Industry Co., Ltd.	2.46%	$34.07	16.58%
2478.TW	TA-I Technology Co., Ltd.	2.45%	$1.52	53.44%
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Financial Statements

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Moelis & Company (MC)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener