DDM Analysis: ITSA3.SA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$31.52 - $78.02	$47.16
Multi-Stage	$34.34 - $37.56	$35.92
Blended Fair Value	$41.54
Current Price	$11.47
Upside	262.15%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-20.79%	5.22%	0.29	0.42	0.35	0.31	0.42	0.92	0.61	0.29	0.27	0.23
YoY Growth	-	-	-31.13%	18.44%	15.47%	-27.01%	-54.63%	51.58%	108.28%	10.00%	13.95%	34.73%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.04%	4.71%	5.64%	4.30%	6.76%	17.95%	9.25%	4.89%	7.05%	8.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	15,909.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	12,835.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,074.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3,181.80	1,988.63	1,193.18
Cash Retained (M)	3,074.00	3,074.00	3,074.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3,181.80	-1,988.63	-1,193.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-107.80	1,085.38	1,880.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	10,916.03	10,916.03	10,916.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.10	0.17
LTM Dividend per Share	1.18	1.18	1.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.10	0.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.17	1.28	1.35
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	3.22%	4.22%	5.22%
Fair Value	$31.52	$47.16	$78.02
Upside / Downside	174.80%	311.16%	580.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	15,909.00	16,579.79	17,278.87	18,007.42	18,766.69	19,557.98	20,144.72
Payout Ratio	80.68%	82.54%	84.41%	86.27%	88.14%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	12,835.00	13,685.31	14,584.50	15,535.19	16,540.12	17,602.18	18,633.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	3.22%	4.22%	5.22%
Year 1 PV (M)	12,663.20	12,785.88	12,908.57
Year 2 PV (M)	12,487.32	12,730.45	12,975.93
Year 3 PV (M)	12,307.87	12,669.08	13,037.29
Year 4 PV (M)	12,125.34	12,602.12	13,092.81
Year 5 PV (M)	11,940.17	12,529.89	13,142.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)	313,297.10	328,770.75	344,849.83
Equity Value (M)	374,821.01	392,088.18	410,007.12
Shares Outstanding (M)	10,916.03	10,916.03	10,916.03
Fair Value	$34.34	$35.92	$37.56
Upside / Downside	199.36%	213.15%	227.46%

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Itaúsa S.A. (ITSA3.SA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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