DDM Analysis: DIS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$110.52 - $212.77	$151.40
Multi-Stage	$98.90 - $108.27	$103.50
Blended Fair Value	$127.45
Current Price	$113.47
Upside	12.32%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	2.58%	-5.16%	1.00	0.75	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.88	1.60	1.39	1.35	1.28
YoY Growth	-	-	31.99%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-45.18%	15.11%	2.86%	5.71%	-24.49%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.88%	0.68%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.48%	1.10%	1.27%	1.21%	1.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	12,404.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	905.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	11,499.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	2,480.80	1,550.50	930.30
Cash Retained (M)	11,499.00	11,499.00	11,499.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-2,480.80	-1,550.50	-930.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)	9,018.20	9,948.50	10,568.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,812.00	1,812.00	1,812.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	4.98	5.49	5.83
LTM Dividend per Share	0.50	0.50	0.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share	4.98	5.49	5.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.48	5.99	6.33
WACC / Discount Rate	9.21%	9.21%	9.21%
Growth Rate	4.05%	5.05%	6.05%
Fair Value	$110.52	$151.40	$212.77
Upside / Downside	-2.60%	33.43%	87.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	12,404.00	13,030.74	13,689.14	14,380.81	15,107.43	15,870.77	16,346.89
Payout Ratio	7.30%	23.84%	40.38%	56.92%	73.46%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	905.00	3,106.11	5,527.35	8,185.33	11,097.80	14,283.69	15,120.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.21%	9.21%	9.21%
Growth Rate	4.05%	5.05%	6.05%
Year 1 PV (M)	2,817.12	2,844.20	2,871.27
Year 2 PV (M)	4,546.67	4,634.48	4,723.14
Year 3 PV (M)	6,106.63	6,284.39	6,465.57
Year 4 PV (M)	7,509.14	7,802.00	8,103.34
Year 5 PV (M)	8,765.61	9,195.00	9,641.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)	149,454.54	156,775.59	164,380.76
Equity Value (M)	179,199.72	187,535.65	196,185.12
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,812.00	1,812.00	1,812.00
Fair Value	$98.90	$103.50	$108.27
Upside / Downside	-12.84%	-8.79%	-4.58%

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The Walt Disney Company (DIS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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