DDM Analysis: CCN.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$233.51 - $353.81	$290.11
Multi-Stage	$473.45 - $521.29	$496.90
Blended Fair Value	$393.51
Current Price	$99.20
Upside	296.68%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	34.15%	0.09%	2.42	2.30	0.46	0.97	0.32	0.56	1.26	2.56	2.46	2.47
YoY Growth	-	-	4.91%	396.23%	-52.01%	198.93%	-41.83%	-56.01%	-50.62%	4.00%	-0.45%	3.33%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.84%	2.95%	0.68%	1.05%	0.29%	0.35%	0.97%	2.12%	2.40%	2.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	162.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	42.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)	120.48

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	32.58	20.36	12.22
Cash Retained (M)	120.48	120.48	120.48
(-) Cash Required (M)	-32.58	-20.36	-12.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)	87.90	100.12	108.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	6.05	6.05	6.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share	14.52	16.54	17.88
LTM Dividend per Share	7.01	7.01	7.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share	14.52	16.54	17.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend	21.53	23.55	24.89
WACC / Discount Rate	7.04%	7.04%	7.04%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$233.51	$290.11	$353.81
Upside / Downside	135.39%	192.45%	256.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	162.92	161.29	159.67	158.08	156.50	154.93	159.58
Payout Ratio	26.05%	38.84%	51.63%	64.42%	77.21%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	42.43	62.64	82.44	101.83	120.83	139.44	147.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.04%	7.04%	7.04%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	57.93	58.52	59.11
Year 2 PV (M)	70.51	71.95	73.42
Year 3 PV (M)	80.55	83.04	85.58
Year 4 PV (M)	88.39	92.06	95.83
Year 5 PV (M)	94.34	99.25	104.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,474.25	2,603.09	2,737.24
Equity Value (M)	2,865.96	3,007.91	3,155.54
Shares Outstanding (M)	6.05	6.05	6.05
Fair Value	$473.45	$496.90	$521.29
Upside / Downside	377.27%	400.91%	425.50%

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300452.SZ	Anhui Sunhere Pharmaceutical Excipients Co.,Ltd.	2.43%	$0.33	58.46%
603599.SS	Anhui Guangxin Agrochemical Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.28	35.02%
605286.SS	Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.43%	$0.99	75.51%
9569.SR	Almuneef Company for Trade, Industry, Agriculture and Contracting	2.43%	$0.20	19.26%
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KEPEN.AT	Flour Mills Kepenos S.A.	2.43%	$0.05	39.82%
MSAB-B.ST	Micro Systemation AB (publ)	2.43%	$1.50	65.33%
NEOE3.SA	Neoenergia S.A.	2.43%	$0.77	21.26%
OV8.SI	Sheng Siong Group Ltd	2.43%	$0.06	66.54%
VIL.PA	VIEL & Cie, S.A.	2.43%	$0.40	12.44%
002236.SZ	Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.46	38.43%
006730.KQ	Seobu T&D Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$309.73	27.66%
071050.KS	Korea Investment Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$3,984.93	13.09%
0DQK.L	Beter Bed Holding N.V.	2.42%	$0.15	53.98%
2409.TW	AUO Corporation	2.42%	$0.31	41.22%
300453.SZ	Jiangxi Sanxin Medtec Co.,Ltd.	2.42%	$0.21	45.08%
600064.SS	Nanjing Gaoke Company Limited	2.42%	$0.21	15.60%
601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
9550.SR	Sure Global Tech Company	2.42%	$1.52	28.67%
9562.SR	Foods Gate Trading Co.	2.42%	$0.67	13.40%
AEONTS-R.BK	AEON Thana Sinsap (Thailand) Public Company Limited	2.42%	$2.60	21.04%
NMAN.ST	Nederman Holding AB (publ)	2.42%	$4.00	47.45%
SALIK.AE	Salik Company P.J.S.C.	2.42%	$0.16	83.74%
SKMO.ST	Skåne-möllan AB (publ)	2.42%	$1.40	96.86%
001130.KS	Daehan Flour Mills Co.,Ltd	2.41%	$3,470.92	10.83%
080160.KQ	Modetour Network Inc.	2.41%	$249.37	24.80%
0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
BORG.ST	Björn Borg AB (publ)	2.41%	$1.50	43.49%
EIOF.OL	Eidesvik Offshore ASA	2.41%	$0.30	28.32%
ETTE.HE	Etteplan Oyj	2.41%	$0.23	71.21%
ZZ-B.ST	Zinzino AB (publ)	2.41%	$3.76	58.64%
002968.SZ	New Dazheng Property Group Co., Ltd.	2.40%	$0.29	59.28%
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4015.SR	Jamjoom Pharmaceuticals Factory Company	2.40%	$3.46	54.14%
7703.TWO	Rayzher	2.40%	$5.49	59.71%
BBL.AX	Brisbane Broncos Limited	2.40%	$0.04	25.15%
002158.SZ	Shanghai Hanbell Precise Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.60	60.14%
004690.KS	Samchully Co.,Ltd	2.39%	$3,000.02	10.30%
0GVS.L	Catena AB (publ)	2.39%	$8.76	32.84%
300577.SZ	Anhui Korrun Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.51	36.22%
3044.TW	Tripod Technology Corporation	2.39%	$7.48	42.14%
603080.SS	Xinjiang Torch Gas Co., Ltd	2.39%	$0.57	43.55%
6780.TWO	Study King Co., Ltd.	2.39%	$0.80	89.60%
6804.T	Hosiden Corporation	2.39%	$59.44	25.81%
KBLM.JK	PT Kabelindo Murni Tbk	2.39%	$8.08	12.05%
SCANFL.HE	Scanfil Oyj	2.39%	$0.24	42.33%

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Caisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel de Normandie-Seine Société coopérative (CCN.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener