DDM Analysis: APH

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$58.63 - $128.46	$84.19
Multi-Stage	$42.48 - $46.39	$44.40
Blended Fair Value	$64.30
Current Price	$123.75
Upside	-48.04%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	16.32%	19.30%	0.47	0.39	0.38	0.27	0.23	0.22	0.20	0.16	0.14	0.13
YoY Growth	-	-	18.88%	4.86%	37.70%	16.50%	6.48%	10.17%	23.76%	18.70%	8.41%	56.33%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.71%	0.69%	0.92%	0.72%	0.71%	1.21%	0.82%	0.75%	0.76%	0.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,821.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	799.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,021.80

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	764.20	477.63	286.58
Cash Retained (M)	3,021.80	3,021.80	3,021.80
(-) Cash Required (M)	-764.20	-477.63	-286.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,257.60	2,544.18	2,735.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,271.58	1,271.58	1,271.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.78	2.00	2.15
LTM Dividend per Share	0.63	0.63	0.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.78	2.00	2.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.40	2.63	2.78
WACC / Discount Rate	9.83%	9.83%	9.83%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$58.63	$84.19	$128.46
Upside / Downside	-52.62%	-31.97%	3.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,821.00	4,069.37	4,333.87	4,615.58	4,915.59	5,235.10	5,392.15
Payout Ratio	20.92%	34.73%	48.55%	62.37%	76.18%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	799.20	1,413.40	2,104.08	2,878.57	3,744.85	4,711.59	4,987.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.83%	9.83%	9.83%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,274.86	1,286.95	1,299.03
Year 2 PV (M)	1,711.82	1,744.42	1,777.34
Year 3 PV (M)	2,112.37	2,173.01	2,234.80
Year 4 PV (M)	2,478.71	2,574.04	2,672.08
Year 5 PV (M)	2,812.92	2,948.78	3,089.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)	43,624.40	45,731.48	47,919.19
Equity Value (M)	54,015.08	56,458.67	58,992.29
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,271.58	1,271.58	1,271.58
Fair Value	$42.48	$44.40	$46.39
Upside / Downside	-65.67%	-64.12%	-62.51%

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Amphenol Corporation (APH)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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