DDM Analysis: 4001.SR

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$44.69 - $105.32	$98.70
Multi-Stage	$16.60 - $18.15	$17.36
Blended Fair Value	$58.03
Current Price	$7.78
Upside	645.89%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	5.67%	23.11%	0.60	0.57	1.14	0.50	0.45	0.45	0.15	0.20	0.10	0.09
YoY Growth	-	-	4.35%	-49.86%	129.35%	11.11%	-1.17%	203.56%	-25.00%	100.00%	14.29%	16.67%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.19%	4.31%	8.92%	4.26%	3.55%	4.89%	2.07%	2.62%	1.81%	2.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	479.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	333.53
(=) Cash Retained (M)	145.85

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	95.88	59.92	35.95
Cash Retained (M)	145.85	145.85	145.85
(-) Cash Required (M)	-95.88	-59.92	-35.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)	49.98	85.93	109.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	903.73	903.73	903.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.10	0.12
LTM Dividend per Share	0.37	0.37	0.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.10	0.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.42	0.46	0.49
WACC / Discount Rate	6.33%	6.33%	6.33%
Growth Rate	5.33%	6.33%	7.33%
Fair Value	$44.69	$98.70	$105.32
Upside / Downside	474.38%	1,168.63%	1,253.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	479.38	509.70	541.95	576.24	612.70	651.46	671.00
Payout Ratio	69.57%	73.66%	77.74%	81.83%	85.91%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	333.53	375.45	421.34	471.54	526.40	586.31	620.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.33%	6.33%	6.33%
Growth Rate	5.33%	6.33%	7.33%
Year 1 PV (M)	349.79	353.11	356.43
Year 2 PV (M)	365.71	372.69	379.73
Year 3 PV (M)	381.31	392.27	403.44
Year 4 PV (M)	396.58	411.85	427.57
Year 5 PV (M)	411.52	431.43	452.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)	13,094.47	13,728.00	14,385.81
Equity Value (M)	14,999.37	15,689.35	16,405.09
Shares Outstanding (M)	903.73	903.73	903.73
Fair Value	$16.60	$17.36	$18.15
Upside / Downside	113.33%	123.14%	133.32%

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Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets Company (4001.SR)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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