DDM Analysis: 601107.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$30.53 - $63.78	$59.77
Multi-Stage	$10.12 - $11.06	$10.58
Blended Fair Value	$35.18
Current Price	$5.56
Upside	532.71%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	13.95%	8.70%	0.41	0.33	0.33	0.20	0.21	0.22	0.23	0.23	0.21	0.21
YoY Growth	-	-	26.10%	0.80%	58.90%	-3.31%	-1.63%	-5.06%	-0.87%	10.62%	-2.57%	18.22%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.85%	6.31%	8.57%	4.51%	6.46%	6.32%	5.05%	5.79%	3.84%	4.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,636.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,635.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)	0.76

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	327.22	204.51	122.71
Cash Retained (M)	0.76	0.76	0.76
(-) Cash Required (M)	-327.22	-204.51	-122.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-326.46	-203.76	-121.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	5,101.30	5,101.30	5,101.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02
LTM Dividend per Share	0.32	0.32	0.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.26	0.28	0.30
WACC / Discount Rate	6.39%	6.39%	6.39%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$30.53	$59.77	$63.78
Upside / Downside	449.07%	975.08%	1,047.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,636.10	1,742.44	1,855.70	1,976.32	2,104.78	2,241.59	2,308.84
Payout Ratio	99.95%	97.96%	95.97%	93.98%	91.99%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,635.34	1,706.95	1,780.96	1,857.38	1,936.21	2,017.43	2,135.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.39%	6.39%	6.39%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,589.41	1,604.48	1,619.54
Year 2 PV (M)	1,544.13	1,573.55	1,603.23
Year 3 PV (M)	1,499.50	1,542.55	1,586.41
Year 4 PV (M)	1,455.51	1,511.48	1,569.05
Year 5 PV (M)	1,412.14	1,480.35	1,551.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)	44,140.63	46,272.64	48,486.25
Equity Value (M)	51,641.33	53,985.04	56,415.65
Shares Outstanding (M)	5,101.30	5,101.30	5,101.30
Fair Value	$10.12	$10.58	$11.06
Upside / Downside	82.07%	90.33%	98.90%

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Sichuan Expressway Company Limited (601107.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener