Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Joint Stock Company "World Trade Center Moscow" (WTCM.ME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$165.65 - $385.54$242.88
Multi-Stage$210.67 - $231.28$220.78
Blended Fair Value$231.83
Current Price$12.52
Upside1,751.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.08%7.70%0.800.650.650.650.670.650.560.380.380.38
YoY Growth--22.15%0.01%0.00%-2.21%2.26%16.67%46.94%0.39%-0.52%0.37%
Dividend Yield--5.73%5.35%8.59%6.77%7.00%7.90%7.82%5.25%4.19%4.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,463.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,815.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,648.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,492.80933.00559.80
Cash Retained (M)5,648.105,648.105,648.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,492.80-933.00-559.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,155.314,715.105,088.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)910.59910.59910.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.565.185.59
LTM Dividend per Share1.991.991.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.565.185.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.567.177.58
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate2.37%3.37%4.37%
Fair Value$165.65$242.88$385.54
Upside / Downside1,223.07%1,839.93%2,979.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,463.987,715.737,975.988,244.998,523.098,810.569,074.88
Payout Ratio24.33%37.46%50.60%63.73%76.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,815.882,890.534,035.625,254.656,551.337,929.508,394.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate2.37%3.37%4.37%
Year 1 PV (M)2,689.742,716.022,742.29
Year 2 PV (M)3,494.423,563.023,632.29
Year 3 PV (M)4,233.914,359.204,486.94
Year 4 PV (M)4,912.025,106.785,307.27
Year 5 PV (M)5,532.355,807.886,094.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)170,971.49179,486.66188,337.77
Equity Value (M)191,833.94201,039.56210,600.86
Shares Outstanding (M)910.59910.59910.59
Fair Value$210.67$220.78$231.28
Upside / Downside1,582.67%1,663.41%1,747.28%

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