Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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First Financial Corporation (THFF)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$194.06 - $873.17$339.61
Multi-Stage$127.05 - $138.94$132.89
Blended Fair Value$236.25
Current Price$56.44
Upside318.59%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.93%5.08%1.791.301.221.201.211.071.062.581.041.07
YoY Growth--38.13%6.39%1.96%-0.64%12.85%1.22%-59.10%147.24%-2.16%-2.45%
Dividend Yield--3.66%3.48%3.26%2.77%2.68%3.17%2.47%6.20%2.20%3.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)74.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)50.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.809.255.55
Cash Retained (M)50.5650.5650.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.80-9.25-5.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)35.7641.3145.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.8411.8411.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.023.493.80
LTM Dividend per Share1.981.981.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.023.493.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.005.475.78
WACC / Discount Rate7.86%7.86%7.86%
Growth Rate5.15%6.15%7.15%
Fair Value$194.06$339.61$873.17
Upside / Downside243.84%501.73%1,447.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)74.0078.5583.3888.5193.9599.73102.72
Payout Ratio31.67%43.34%55.00%66.67%78.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23.4334.0445.8659.0073.5989.7595.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.86%7.86%7.86%
Growth Rate5.15%6.15%7.15%
Year 1 PV (M)31.2631.5631.86
Year 2 PV (M)38.6839.4240.16
Year 3 PV (M)45.7147.0248.36
Year 4 PV (M)52.3554.3756.45
Year 5 PV (M)58.6461.4864.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,277.321,339.221,403.50
Equity Value (M)1,503.961,573.081,644.77
Shares Outstanding (M)11.8411.8411.84
Fair Value$127.05$132.89$138.94
Upside / Downside125.10%135.45%146.18%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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