Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Rothschild & Co SCA (ROTH.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$152.04 - $494.23$246.42
Multi-Stage$97.67 - $106.81$102.16
Blended Fair Value$174.29
Current Price$46.55
Upside274.41%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS35.39%0.00%2.761.770.040.790.720.610.580.471.260.00
YoY Growth--56.01%4,862.06%-95.50%10.34%18.27%5.59%21.32%-62.23%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.40%4.39%0.14%3.10%2.51%1.90%2.68%1.66%7.30%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)410.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)56.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)354.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)82.1651.3530.81
Cash Retained (M)354.49354.49354.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-82.16-51.35-30.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)272.33303.14323.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)72.7072.7072.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.754.174.45
LTM Dividend per Share0.770.770.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.754.174.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.524.945.23
WACC / Discount Rate8.64%8.64%8.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$152.04$246.42$494.23
Upside / Downside226.61%429.37%961.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)410.80437.50465.94496.22528.48562.83579.71
Payout Ratio13.71%28.97%44.22%59.48%74.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)56.31126.73206.06295.17394.99506.55536.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.64%8.64%8.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)115.56116.65117.75
Year 2 PV (M)171.33174.60177.89
Year 3 PV (M)223.79230.22236.76
Year 4 PV (M)273.08283.58294.38
Year 5 PV (M)319.34334.76350.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,997.146,286.806,587.55
Equity Value (M)7,100.247,426.617,765.11
Shares Outstanding (M)72.7072.7072.70
Fair Value$97.67$102.16$106.81
Upside / Downside109.81%119.45%129.46%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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