Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Peoples Financial Services Corp. (PFIS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$156.68 - $617.78$266.39
Multi-Stage$100.10 - $109.31$104.62
Blended Fair Value$185.50
Current Price$48.61
Upside281.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.30%6.81%1.801.161.131.071.041.010.960.930.910.93
YoY Growth--55.18%2.95%4.94%2.61%3.82%4.52%4.01%1.62%-1.60%-0.44%
Dividend Yield--4.04%2.81%2.60%2.12%2.47%2.53%2.12%2.03%2.18%2.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)53.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)28.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.666.664.00
Cash Retained (M)28.6728.6728.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.66-6.66-4.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.0122.0024.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.0710.0710.07
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.792.192.45
LTM Dividend per Share2.452.452.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.792.192.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.244.634.90
WACC / Discount Rate8.35%8.35%8.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$156.68$266.39$617.78
Upside / Downside222.32%448.01%1,170.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)53.3056.7660.4564.3868.5773.0275.21
Payout Ratio46.22%54.97%63.73%72.49%81.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.6331.2038.5346.6755.7165.7269.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.35%8.35%8.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)28.5328.8029.07
Year 2 PV (M)32.2032.8233.43
Year 3 PV (M)35.6636.6937.73
Year 4 PV (M)38.9240.4241.95
Year 5 PV (M)41.9844.0146.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)830.28870.38912.02
Equity Value (M)1,007.571,053.101,100.32
Shares Outstanding (M)10.0710.0710.07
Fair Value$100.10$104.62$109.31
Upside / Downside105.92%115.23%124.88%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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