Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Beijing Sifang Automation Co.,Ltd (601126.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.42 - $43.55$28.12
Multi-Stage$14.91 - $16.24$15.57
Blended Fair Value$21.84
Current Price$20.19
Upside8.18%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.58%15.61%0.600.600.490.950.170.170.190.200.190.14
YoY Growth---0.15%23.00%-48.98%473.19%-2.13%-10.42%-6.36%9.36%30.17%1.59%
Dividend Yield--3.52%3.88%3.35%7.38%2.05%2.86%2.82%2.92%1.78%1.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)810.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)599.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)210.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)162.09101.3060.78
Cash Retained (M)210.47210.47210.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-162.09-101.30-60.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)48.39109.17149.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)835.55835.55835.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.130.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.720.720.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.130.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.780.850.90
WACC / Discount Rate9.71%9.71%9.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$19.42$28.12$43.55
Upside / Downside-3.79%39.27%115.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)810.43863.11919.21978.961,042.591,110.361,143.67
Payout Ratio74.03%77.22%80.42%83.61%86.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)599.95666.52739.20818.52905.03999.321,057.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.71%9.71%9.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)601.80607.50613.21
Year 2 PV (M)602.62614.10625.68
Year 3 PV (M)602.49619.78637.40
Year 4 PV (M)601.47624.61648.40
Year 5 PV (M)599.65628.62658.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,454.199,910.8310,384.95
Equity Value (M)12,462.2213,005.4313,568.33
Shares Outstanding (M)835.55835.55835.55
Fair Value$14.91$15.57$16.24
Upside / Downside-26.13%-22.91%-19.57%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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