Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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UMS Holdings Limited (558.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.09 - $11.62$10.89
Multi-Stage$1.67 - $1.83$1.75
Blended Fair Value$6.32
Current Price$1.33
Upside375.21%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.37%4.42%0.050.050.050.030.040.030.040.040.040.04
YoY Growth--5.97%8.46%47.26%-15.00%42.06%-36.36%10.00%4.17%0.00%3.38%
Dividend Yield--4.82%3.77%4.23%2.59%3.54%5.28%6.87%4.03%6.62%10.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)41.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.315.203.12
Cash Retained (M)4.634.634.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.31-5.20-3.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3.69-0.571.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)711.32711.32711.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.010.000.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.050.050.05
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4.09$10.89$11.62
Upside / Downside207.30%719.01%773.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)41.5744.2847.1550.2253.4856.9658.67
Payout Ratio88.87%89.10%89.32%89.55%89.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36.9539.4542.1244.9748.0151.2654.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)36.6236.9737.32
Year 2 PV (M)36.3036.9937.69
Year 3 PV (M)35.9837.0138.07
Year 4 PV (M)35.6637.0338.44
Year 5 PV (M)35.3537.0638.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,009.451,058.211,108.83
Equity Value (M)1,189.361,243.271,299.17
Shares Outstanding (M)711.32711.32711.32
Fair Value$1.67$1.75$1.83
Upside / Downside25.72%31.42%37.32%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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