Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

SITC International Holdings Company Limited (1308.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.15 - $41.98$24.54
Multi-Stage$11.67 - $12.72$12.19
Blended Fair Value$18.36
Current Price$3.20
Upside473.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS30.05%20.93%0.210.280.590.210.100.060.060.030.020.03
YoY Growth---25.85%-52.23%185.20%102.79%81.57%-1.91%73.57%63.28%-27.26%-11.08%
Dividend Yield--7.80%16.18%26.40%5.68%4.67%4.57%6.04%3.31%3.30%5.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,879.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,250.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)629.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)375.88234.93140.96
Cash Retained (M)629.36629.36629.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-375.88-234.93-140.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)253.48394.44488.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,685.672,685.672,685.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.150.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.470.470.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.150.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.560.610.65
WACC / Discount Rate9.16%9.16%9.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$16.15$24.54$41.98
Upside / Downside404.60%666.76%1,211.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,879.422,001.582,131.682,270.242,417.812,574.962,652.21
Payout Ratio66.51%71.21%75.91%80.61%85.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,250.051,425.331,618.111,829.932,062.452,317.472,453.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.16%9.16%9.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,293.491,305.751,318.01
Year 2 PV (M)1,332.611,358.001,383.62
Year 3 PV (M)1,367.661,406.921,446.93
Year 4 PV (M)1,398.871,452.661,508.00
Year 5 PV (M)1,426.441,495.341,566.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,522.6025,707.0526,936.83
Equity Value (M)31,341.6832,725.7234,160.26
Shares Outstanding (M)2,685.672,685.672,685.67
Fair Value$11.67$12.19$12.72
Upside / Downside264.69%280.79%297.48%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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