Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

Sector

GC Biopharma Corp. (006280.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - PharmaceuticalsSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$102,145.95 - $240,503.68$150,344.73
Multi-Stage$99,388.09 - $108,838.67$104,025.61
Blended Fair Value$127,185.17
Current Price$129,200.00
Upside-1.56%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.55%2.86%1,711.372,175.082,101.511,621.891,114.401,084.571,249.991,343.211,796.151,316.75
YoY Growth---21.32%3.50%29.57%45.54%2.75%-13.23%-6.94%-25.22%36.41%1.97%
Dividend Yield--1.40%1.76%1.72%0.80%0.31%0.79%0.87%0.65%1.13%0.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)56,335.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18,831.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)37,503.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,267.037,041.894,225.14
Cash Retained (M)37,503.7937,503.7937,503.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,267.03-7,041.89-4,225.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)26,236.7630,461.8933,278.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.4111.4111.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,298.802,668.992,915.79
LTM Dividend per Share1,649.961,649.961,649.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,298.802,668.992,915.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,948.754,318.954,565.75
WACC / Discount Rate7.59%7.59%7.59%
Growth Rate3.59%4.59%5.59%
Fair Value$102,145.95$150,344.73$240,503.68
Upside / Downside-20.94%16.37%86.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)56,335.1458,919.6061,622.6264,449.6567,406.3770,498.7372,613.70
Payout Ratio33.43%44.74%56.06%67.37%78.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18,831.3626,361.7534,543.4443,420.3453,039.0263,448.8667,167.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.59%7.59%7.59%
Growth Rate3.59%4.59%5.59%
Year 1 PV (M)24,267.2924,501.5624,735.82
Year 2 PV (M)29,272.4929,840.3930,413.75
Year 3 PV (M)33,871.5034,861.9535,871.52
Year 4 PV (M)38,087.6139,579.7941,115.38
Year 5 PV (M)41,942.9744,006.9546,151.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)966,899.241,014,479.651,063,915.02
Equity Value (M)1,134,341.101,187,270.291,242,202.89
Shares Outstanding (M)11.4111.4111.41
Fair Value$99,388.09$104,025.61$108,838.67
Upside / Downside-23.07%-19.48%-15.76%

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