Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $957,529.76 - $3,949,959.84 | $2,465,612.98 |
| Multi-Stage | $473,075.69 - $517,508.86 | $494,885.66 |
| Blended Fair Value | $1,480,249.32 | |
| Current Price | $100,700.00 | |
| Upside | 1,369.96% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 43.48% | 22.71% | 5,567.30 | 3,560.33 | 3,051.71 | 1,017.24 | 1,169.82 | 915.51 | 813.79 | 1,118.96 | 1,118.96 | 1,025.17 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 56.37% | 16.67% | 200.00% | -13.04% | 27.78% | 12.50% | -27.27% | 0.00% | 9.15% | 42.53% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 6.03% | 3.28% | 3.77% | 1.37% | 1.41% | 3.52% | 2.30% | 3.61% | 3.02% | 2.12% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 7,828,160.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 2,559,045.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 5,269,115.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 1,565,632.00 | 978,520.00 | 587,112.00 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 5,269,115.00 | 5,269,115.00 | 5,269,115.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -1,565,632.00 | -978,520.00 | -587,112.00 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 3,703,483.00 | 4,290,595.00 | 4,682,003.00 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 394.14 | 394.14 | 394.14 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 9,396.44 | 10,886.05 | 11,879.13 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 6,492.78 | 6,492.78 | 6,492.78 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 9,396.44 | 10,886.05 | 11,879.13 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 15,889.22 | 17,378.83 | 18,371.91 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.25% | 7.25% | 7.25% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $957,529.76 | $2,465,612.98 | $3,949,959.84 |
| Upside / Downside | 850.87% | 2,348.47% | 3,822.50% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 7,828,160.00 | 8,336,990.40 | 8,878,894.78 | 9,456,022.94 | 10,070,664.43 | 10,725,257.62 | 11,047,015.34 |
| Payout Ratio | 32.69% | 44.15% | 55.61% | 67.08% | 78.54% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 2,559,045.00 | 3,680,964.61 | 4,937,921.81 | 6,342,731.36 | 7,909,303.44 | 9,652,731.85 | 10,218,489.19 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.25% | 7.25% | 7.25% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 3,399,887.19 | 3,432,113.61 | 3,464,340.03 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 4,212,597.23 | 4,292,835.38 | 4,373,830.48 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 4,997,869.50 | 5,141,340.37 | 5,287,530.99 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 5,756,383.19 | 5,977,757.45 | 6,205,456.21 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 6,488,802.64 | 6,802,214.24 | 7,127,620.83 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 161,601,094.57 | 169,406,487.86 | 177,510,611.93 |
| Equity Value (M) | 186,456,634.33 | 195,052,748.90 | 203,969,390.47 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 394.14 | 394.14 | 394.14 |
| Fair Value | $473,075.69 | $494,885.66 | $517,508.86 |
| Upside / Downside | 369.79% | 391.45% | 413.91% |
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| 7743.T | SEED Co.,Ltd. | 2.61% | $14.99 | 32.99% |
| GBF.DE | Bilfinger SE | 2.61% | $2.87 | 57.97% |
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| 000028.SZ | China National Accord Medicines Corporation Ltd. | 2.59% | $0.63 | 66.16% |
| 000423.SZ | Dong-E-E-Jiao Co.,Ltd. | 2.59% | $1.27 | 48.72% |
| 002375.SZ | Zhejiang Yasha Decoration Co.,Ltd | 2.59% | $0.10 | 39.98% |
| 002508.SZ | Hangzhou Robam Appliances Co., Ltd. | 2.59% | $0.50 | 30.91% |
| 035510.KS | SHINSEGAE Information & Communication Co., Ltd. | 2.59% | $430.09 | 12.26% |
| 4732.T | USS Co., Ltd. | 2.59% | $44.46 | 52.49% |
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| 0MKP.L | Strabag SE | 2.58% | $2.08 | 29.10% |
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| 3612.T | World Co., Ltd. | 2.58% | $79.81 | 24.01% |
| 5334.T | Niterra Co., Ltd. | 2.58% | $178.09 | 36.87% |
| 601137.SS | Ningbo Boway Alloy Material Company Limited | 2.58% | $0.55 | 43.16% |
| 688355.SS | Suzhou Mingzhi Technology Co., Ltd. | 2.58% | $0.46 | 98.88% |
| ASAI.L | ASA International Group PLC | 2.58% | $5.05 | 31.55% |
| DEK.WA | Dekpol S.A. | 2.58% | $2.39 | 17.66% |
| PNGO.JK | PT PINAGO UTAMA Tbk | 2.58% | $80.26 | 21.28% |
| 600999.SS | China Merchants Securities Co., Ltd. | 2.57% | $0.43 | 30.69% |
| 605338.SS | Zhongyin Babi Food Co., Ltd. | 2.57% | $0.80 | 67.91% |
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| ERWPF.BK | Erawan Hotel Growth Property Fund | 2.57% | $0.23 | 22.08% |
| HLUN-A.CO | H. Lundbeck A/S | 2.57% | $0.95 | 24.76% |
| KVT.WA | Krynica Vitamin S.A. | 2.57% | $0.27 | 25.50% |
| UNIQ.BK | Unique Engineering and Construction Public Company Limited | 2.57% | $0.07 | 7.66% |
| 004710.KS | Hansol Technics Co., Ltd. | 2.56% | $150.48 | 26.54% |
| 1714.TW | Ho Tung Chemical Corp. | 2.56% | $0.21 | 47.53% |
| 300880.SZ | Ningbo Jianan Electronics Co.,Ltd | 2.56% | $0.45 | 98.75% |
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