Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: EntertainmentSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.76 - $13.31$10.89
Multi-Stage$12.90 - $14.12$13.50
Blended Fair Value$12.20
Current Price$34.06
Upside-64.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS2.17%0.00%0.600.570.530.500.420.540.151.450.130.00
YoY Growth--6.09%6.18%6.92%20.00%-22.97%265.96%-89.84%1,001.19%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.77%1.83%1.49%1.43%0.96%1.42%0.49%4.82%0.44%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)621.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)383.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)238.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)124.2077.6346.58
Cash Retained (M)238.00238.00238.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-124.20-77.63-46.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)113.80160.38191.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)636.57636.57636.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.250.30
LTM Dividend per Share0.600.600.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.250.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.780.850.90
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate0.17%1.17%2.17%
Fair Value$8.76$10.89$13.31
Upside / Downside-74.29%-68.01%-60.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)621.00628.27635.63643.07650.61658.22677.97
Payout Ratio61.67%67.34%73.00%78.67%84.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)383.00423.08464.04505.91548.69592.40627.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.10%9.10%9.10%
Growth Rate0.17%1.17%2.17%
Year 1 PV (M)383.96387.80391.63
Year 2 PV (M)382.20389.87397.62
Year 3 PV (M)378.16389.60401.27
Year 4 PV (M)372.22387.31402.85
Year 5 PV (M)364.72383.29402.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,331.576,653.986,989.39
Equity Value (M)8,212.848,591.858,985.37
Shares Outstanding (M)636.57636.57636.57
Fair Value$12.90$13.50$14.12
Upside / Downside-62.12%-60.37%-58.56%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 6 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
FFord Motor Company5.53%$0.7463.45%
LCNBLCNB Corp.5.48%$0.8953.03%
PPBIPacific Premier Bancorp, Inc.5.48%$1.3492.42%
VGRVector Group Ltd.5.48%$0.8263.35%
DLXDeluxe Corporation5.43%$1.2166.43%
BAFNBayFirst Financial Corp.5.41%$0.4321.50%
IPGThe Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc.5.41%$1.3388.72%
PEBOPeoples Bancorp Inc.5.39%$1.6256.40%
OKEONEOK, Inc.5.38%$4.0075.29%
BUSEFirst Busey Corporation5.37%$1.2875.92%
OASOasis Petroleum Inc.5.37%$5.8765.40%
EIXEdison International5.36%$3.2639.45%
0R1X.LGeneral Mills, Inc.5.35%$2.4545.62%
FIBKFirst Interstate BancSystem, Inc.5.35%$1.8979.54%
FNCBFNCB Bancorp, Inc.5.33%$0.3651.41%
DHILDiamond Hill Investment Group, Inc.5.31%$9.0552.46%
SLRCSLR Investment Corp.5.31%$0.8249.67%
EPSNEpsilon Energy Ltd.5.30%$0.2491.92%
UVVUniversal Corporation5.28%$2.7862.64%
FLICThe First of Long Island Corporation5.27%$0.6386.64%
AUBAtlantic Union Bankshares Corporation5.22%$1.8576.04%
SAFESafehold Inc.5.20%$0.7145.17%
GAB-PGThe Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. PFD-G5.19%$1.0881.70%
HPQHP Inc.5.19%$1.1543.02%
SOISolaris Oilfield Infrastructure, Inc.5.18%$0.7025.64%
MBINOMerchants Bancorp5.17%$1.2924.09%
0JXQ.LMain Street Capital Corporation5.13%$3.1752.63%
EMNEastman Chemical Company5.12%$3.2954.36%
EMBCEmbecta Corp.5.10%$0.5936.96%
AMAntero Midstream Corporation5.09%$0.9193.18%
CZNCCitizens & Northern Corporation5.09%$1.0257.64%
FMNBFarmers National Banc Corp.5.09%$0.6846.83%
0J66.LHost Hotels & Resorts, Inc.5.08%$0.9084.69%
GLPIGaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.5.07%$2.2582.42%
PFISPeoples Financial Services Corp.5.07%$2.4446.22%
TBBAT&T Inc. 5.35% GLB NTS 665.07%$1.1436.88%
KFRCKforce Inc.5.02%$1.5768.10%
TTPTortoise Pipeline & Energy Fund, Inc.5.02%$2.3920.11%
STAR-PGiStar Inc.4.94%$1.2434.23%
PFSProvident Financial Services, Inc.4.93%$0.9761.13%
UBFOUnited Security Bancshares4.92%$0.4873.45%
DDTDillards Capital Trust I CAP SECS 7.5%4.90%$1.293.46%
SGUStar Group, L.P.4.89%$0.5836.90%
AGRAvangrid, Inc.4.88%$1.7660.70%
KMBKimberly-Clark Corporation4.88%$4.9583.80%
OCFCOceanFirst Financial Corp.4.86%$0.8761.98%
0I0J.LThe Clorox Company4.85%$4.8976.11%
FNLCThe First Bancorp, Inc.4.83%$1.2845.40%
RILYZB. Riley Financial, Inc. 5.25% Senior Notes due 20284.83%$0.5856.91%
BSETBassett Furniture Industries, Incorporated4.82%$0.8089.43%