Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Fundamentals

Valuations

Miscellaneous

Analysis Mode

Search

Canadian National Railway Company (CNI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RailroadsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$112.58 - $223.03$155.91
Multi-Stage$173.38 - $190.30$181.68
Blended Fair Value$168.80
Current Price$131.26
Upside28.60%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.73%10.08%3.413.303.202.772.612.462.131.981.851.59
YoY Growth--3.24%3.34%15.17%6.49%5.83%15.83%7.59%6.90%16.37%21.76%
Dividend Yield--2.43%1.86%2.00%1.65%1.79%2.26%1.76%2.10%1.88%1.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,296.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,176.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,120.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)859.36537.10322.26
Cash Retained (M)2,120.802,120.802,120.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-859.36-537.10-322.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,261.441,583.701,798.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)627.05627.05627.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.012.532.87
LTM Dividend per Share3.473.473.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.012.532.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.486.006.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate1.46%2.46%3.46%
Fair Value$112.58$155.91$223.03
Upside / Downside-14.23%18.78%69.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,296.804,402.394,510.584,621.434,735.004,851.364,996.90
Payout Ratio50.64%58.51%66.39%74.26%82.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,176.002,576.012,994.373,431.733,888.784,366.224,622.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate1.46%2.46%3.46%
Year 1 PV (M)2,397.492,421.122,444.75
Year 2 PV (M)2,593.712,645.092,696.98
Year 3 PV (M)2,766.552,849.162,933.40
Year 4 PV (M)2,917.743,034.493,154.70
Year 5 PV (M)3,048.933,202.183,361.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)94,995.6899,770.43104,735.27
Equity Value (M)108,720.09113,922.46119,326.63
Shares Outstanding (M)627.05627.05627.05
Fair Value$173.38$181.68$190.30
Upside / Downside32.09%38.41%44.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 6 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
FFord Motor Company5.53%$0.7463.45%
LCNBLCNB Corp.5.48%$0.8953.03%
PPBIPacific Premier Bancorp, Inc.5.48%$1.3492.42%
VGRVector Group Ltd.5.48%$0.8263.35%
DLXDeluxe Corporation5.43%$1.2166.43%
BAFNBayFirst Financial Corp.5.41%$0.4321.50%
IPGThe Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc.5.41%$1.3388.72%
PEBOPeoples Bancorp Inc.5.39%$1.6256.40%
OKEONEOK, Inc.5.38%$4.0075.29%
BUSEFirst Busey Corporation5.37%$1.2875.92%
OASOasis Petroleum Inc.5.37%$5.8765.40%
EIXEdison International5.36%$3.2639.45%
0R1X.LGeneral Mills, Inc.5.35%$2.4545.62%
FIBKFirst Interstate BancSystem, Inc.5.35%$1.8979.54%
FNCBFNCB Bancorp, Inc.5.33%$0.3651.41%
DHILDiamond Hill Investment Group, Inc.5.31%$9.0552.46%
SLRCSLR Investment Corp.5.31%$0.8249.67%
EPSNEpsilon Energy Ltd.5.30%$0.2491.92%
UVVUniversal Corporation5.28%$2.7862.64%
FLICThe First of Long Island Corporation5.27%$0.6386.64%
AUBAtlantic Union Bankshares Corporation5.22%$1.8576.04%
SAFESafehold Inc.5.20%$0.7145.17%
GAB-PGThe Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. PFD-G5.19%$1.0881.70%
HPQHP Inc.5.19%$1.1543.02%
SOISolaris Oilfield Infrastructure, Inc.5.18%$0.7025.64%
MBINOMerchants Bancorp5.17%$1.2924.09%
0JXQ.LMain Street Capital Corporation5.13%$3.1752.63%
EMNEastman Chemical Company5.12%$3.2954.36%
EMBCEmbecta Corp.5.10%$0.5936.96%
AMAntero Midstream Corporation5.09%$0.9193.18%
CZNCCitizens & Northern Corporation5.09%$1.0257.64%
FMNBFarmers National Banc Corp.5.09%$0.6846.83%
0J66.LHost Hotels & Resorts, Inc.5.08%$0.9084.69%
GLPIGaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.5.07%$2.2582.42%
PFISPeoples Financial Services Corp.5.07%$2.4446.22%
TBBAT&T Inc. 5.35% GLB NTS 665.07%$1.1436.88%
KFRCKforce Inc.5.02%$1.5768.10%
TTPTortoise Pipeline & Energy Fund, Inc.5.02%$2.3920.11%
STAR-PGiStar Inc.4.94%$1.2434.23%
PFSProvident Financial Services, Inc.4.93%$0.9761.13%
UBFOUnited Security Bancshares4.92%$0.4873.45%
DDTDillards Capital Trust I CAP SECS 7.5%4.90%$1.293.46%
SGUStar Group, L.P.4.89%$0.5836.90%
AGRAvangrid, Inc.4.88%$1.7660.70%
KMBKimberly-Clark Corporation4.88%$4.9583.80%
OCFCOceanFirst Financial Corp.4.86%$0.8761.98%
0I0J.LThe Clorox Company4.85%$4.8976.11%
FNLCThe First Bancorp, Inc.4.83%$1.2845.40%
RILYZB. Riley Financial, Inc. 5.25% Senior Notes due 20284.83%$0.5856.91%
BSETBassett Furniture Industries, Incorporated4.82%$0.8089.43%