Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

Valero Energy Corporation (VLO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$46.22 - $71.71$58.02
Multi-Stage$67.69 - $73.89$70.73
Blended Fair Value$64.38
Current Price$170.26
Upside-62.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.49%9.59%4.434.644.995.125.124.774.383.973.552.71
YoY Growth---4.68%-7.04%-2.50%0.13%7.24%8.98%10.23%11.79%31.01%53.07%
Dividend Yield--3.35%2.69%3.58%5.04%7.15%10.52%5.06%4.28%5.36%4.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,495.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,400.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)95.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)299.00186.88112.13
Cash Retained (M)95.0095.0095.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-299.00-186.88-112.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)-204.00-91.88-17.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)312.75312.75312.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.65-0.29-0.05
LTM Dividend per Share4.484.484.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.65-0.29-0.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.824.184.42
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate0.75%1.75%2.75%
Fair Value$46.22$58.02$71.71
Upside / Downside-72.85%-65.92%-57.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,495.001,521.091,547.631,574.641,602.121,630.081,678.98
Payout Ratio93.65%92.92%92.19%91.46%90.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,400.001,413.341,426.721,440.141,453.591,467.071,553.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate0.75%1.75%2.75%
Year 1 PV (M)1,282.961,295.691,308.43
Year 2 PV (M)1,175.631,199.081,222.77
Year 3 PV (M)1,077.211,109.611,142.65
Year 4 PV (M)986.971,026.741,067.70
Year 5 PV (M)904.23950.00997.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,743.8116,540.8517,369.84
Equity Value (M)21,170.8022,121.9723,109.00
Shares Outstanding (M)312.75312.75312.75
Fair Value$67.69$70.73$73.89
Upside / Downside-60.24%-58.46%-56.60%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 6 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
FFord Motor Company5.53%$0.7463.45%
LCNBLCNB Corp.5.48%$0.8953.03%
PPBIPacific Premier Bancorp, Inc.5.48%$1.3492.42%
VGRVector Group Ltd.5.48%$0.8263.35%
DLXDeluxe Corporation5.43%$1.2166.43%
BAFNBayFirst Financial Corp.5.41%$0.4321.50%
IPGThe Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc.5.41%$1.3388.72%
PEBOPeoples Bancorp Inc.5.39%$1.6256.40%
OKEONEOK, Inc.5.38%$4.0075.29%
BUSEFirst Busey Corporation5.37%$1.2875.92%
OASOasis Petroleum Inc.5.37%$5.8765.40%
EIXEdison International5.36%$3.2639.45%
0R1X.LGeneral Mills, Inc.5.35%$2.4545.62%
FIBKFirst Interstate BancSystem, Inc.5.35%$1.8979.54%
FNCBFNCB Bancorp, Inc.5.33%$0.3651.41%
DHILDiamond Hill Investment Group, Inc.5.31%$9.0552.46%
SLRCSLR Investment Corp.5.31%$0.8249.67%
EPSNEpsilon Energy Ltd.5.30%$0.2491.92%
UVVUniversal Corporation5.28%$2.7862.64%
FLICThe First of Long Island Corporation5.27%$0.6386.64%
AUBAtlantic Union Bankshares Corporation5.22%$1.8576.04%
SAFESafehold Inc.5.20%$0.7145.17%
GAB-PGThe Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. PFD-G5.19%$1.0881.70%
HPQHP Inc.5.19%$1.1543.02%
SOISolaris Oilfield Infrastructure, Inc.5.18%$0.7025.64%
MBINOMerchants Bancorp5.17%$1.2924.09%
0JXQ.LMain Street Capital Corporation5.13%$3.1752.63%
EMNEastman Chemical Company5.12%$3.2954.36%
EMBCEmbecta Corp.5.10%$0.5936.96%
AMAntero Midstream Corporation5.09%$0.9193.18%
CZNCCitizens & Northern Corporation5.09%$1.0257.64%
FMNBFarmers National Banc Corp.5.09%$0.6846.83%
0J66.LHost Hotels & Resorts, Inc.5.08%$0.9084.69%
GLPIGaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.5.07%$2.2582.42%
PFISPeoples Financial Services Corp.5.07%$2.4446.22%
TBBAT&T Inc. 5.35% GLB NTS 665.07%$1.1436.88%
KFRCKforce Inc.5.02%$1.5768.10%
TTPTortoise Pipeline & Energy Fund, Inc.5.02%$2.3920.11%
STAR-PGiStar Inc.4.94%$1.2434.23%
PFSProvident Financial Services, Inc.4.93%$0.9761.13%
UBFOUnited Security Bancshares4.92%$0.4873.45%
DDTDillards Capital Trust I CAP SECS 7.5%4.90%$1.293.46%
SGUStar Group, L.P.4.89%$0.5836.90%
AGRAvangrid, Inc.4.88%$1.7660.70%
KMBKimberly-Clark Corporation4.88%$4.9583.80%
OCFCOceanFirst Financial Corp.4.86%$0.8761.98%
0I0J.LThe Clorox Company4.85%$4.8976.11%
FNLCThe First Bancorp, Inc.4.83%$1.2845.40%
RILYZB. Riley Financial, Inc. 5.25% Senior Notes due 20284.83%$0.5856.91%
BSETBassett Furniture Industries, Incorporated4.82%$0.8089.43%