Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

Guild Holdings Company (GHLD)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - MortgagesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.29 - $20.57$17.35
Multi-Stage$23.45 - $25.74$24.57
Blended Fair Value$20.96
Current Price$19.94
Upside5.13%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS-1.13%0.00%0.490.490.001.940.600.520.640.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.73%0.00%-100.00%225.72%14.36%-18.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.22%3.31%0.00%18.91%4.19%3.47%4.27%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)126.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)46.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)79.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25.2115.759.45
Cash Retained (M)79.5279.5279.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-25.21-15.75-9.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)54.3163.7670.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)62.4162.4162.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.871.021.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.750.750.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.871.021.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.621.771.87
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$14.29$17.35$20.57
Upside / Downside-28.34%-12.96%3.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)126.03124.77123.52122.29121.07119.86123.45
Payout Ratio36.91%47.53%58.14%68.76%79.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)46.5259.3071.8284.0996.10107.87114.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)53.8154.3654.91
Year 2 PV (M)59.1560.3661.59
Year 3 PV (M)62.8564.7966.77
Year 4 PV (M)65.1867.8870.67
Year 5 PV (M)66.3969.8573.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,156.011,216.201,278.88
Equity Value (M)1,463.391,533.451,606.27
Shares Outstanding (M)62.4162.4162.41
Fair Value$23.45$24.57$25.74
Upside / Downside17.60%23.23%29.08%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 6 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
FFord Motor Company5.53%$0.7463.45%
LCNBLCNB Corp.5.48%$0.8953.03%
PPBIPacific Premier Bancorp, Inc.5.48%$1.3492.42%
VGRVector Group Ltd.5.48%$0.8263.35%
DLXDeluxe Corporation5.43%$1.2166.43%
BAFNBayFirst Financial Corp.5.41%$0.4321.50%
IPGThe Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc.5.41%$1.3388.72%
PEBOPeoples Bancorp Inc.5.39%$1.6256.40%
OKEONEOK, Inc.5.38%$4.0075.29%
BUSEFirst Busey Corporation5.37%$1.2875.92%
OASOasis Petroleum Inc.5.37%$5.8765.40%
EIXEdison International5.36%$3.2639.45%
0R1X.LGeneral Mills, Inc.5.35%$2.4545.62%
FIBKFirst Interstate BancSystem, Inc.5.35%$1.8979.54%
FNCBFNCB Bancorp, Inc.5.33%$0.3651.41%
DHILDiamond Hill Investment Group, Inc.5.31%$9.0552.46%
SLRCSLR Investment Corp.5.31%$0.8249.67%
EPSNEpsilon Energy Ltd.5.30%$0.2491.92%
UVVUniversal Corporation5.28%$2.7862.64%
FLICThe First of Long Island Corporation5.27%$0.6386.64%
AUBAtlantic Union Bankshares Corporation5.22%$1.8576.04%
SAFESafehold Inc.5.20%$0.7145.17%
GAB-PGThe Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. PFD-G5.19%$1.0881.70%
HPQHP Inc.5.19%$1.1543.02%
SOISolaris Oilfield Infrastructure, Inc.5.18%$0.7025.64%
MBINOMerchants Bancorp5.17%$1.2924.09%
0JXQ.LMain Street Capital Corporation5.13%$3.1752.63%
EMNEastman Chemical Company5.12%$3.2954.36%
EMBCEmbecta Corp.5.10%$0.5936.96%
AMAntero Midstream Corporation5.09%$0.9193.18%
CZNCCitizens & Northern Corporation5.09%$1.0257.64%
FMNBFarmers National Banc Corp.5.09%$0.6846.83%
0J66.LHost Hotels & Resorts, Inc.5.08%$0.9084.69%
GLPIGaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.5.07%$2.2582.42%
PFISPeoples Financial Services Corp.5.07%$2.4446.22%
TBBAT&T Inc. 5.35% GLB NTS 665.07%$1.1436.88%
KFRCKforce Inc.5.02%$1.5768.10%
TTPTortoise Pipeline & Energy Fund, Inc.5.02%$2.3920.11%
STAR-PGiStar Inc.4.94%$1.2434.23%
PFSProvident Financial Services, Inc.4.93%$0.9761.13%
UBFOUnited Security Bancshares4.92%$0.4873.45%
DDTDillards Capital Trust I CAP SECS 7.5%4.90%$1.293.46%
SGUStar Group, L.P.4.89%$0.5836.90%
AGRAvangrid, Inc.4.88%$1.7660.70%
KMBKimberly-Clark Corporation4.88%$4.9583.80%
OCFCOceanFirst Financial Corp.4.86%$0.8761.98%
0I0J.LThe Clorox Company4.85%$4.8976.11%
FNLCThe First Bancorp, Inc.4.83%$1.2845.40%
RILYZB. Riley Financial, Inc. 5.25% Senior Notes due 20284.83%$0.5856.91%
BSETBassett Furniture Industries, Incorporated4.82%$0.8089.43%