Definitive Analysis | Institutional-Grade Financial Research
Definitive Analysis
Get Full Access
See Pricing Start Free Trial

Arrow Financial Corporation (AROW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.74 - $38.91$30.50
Multi-Stage$29.56 - $32.31$30.91
Blended Fair Value$30.70
Current Price$28.30
Upside8.50%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.76%3.95%1.101.081.050.980.950.920.870.820.790.77
YoY Growth--1.68%3.09%7.04%3.53%3.51%5.68%5.81%3.87%3.09%2.36%
Dividend Yield--4.19%4.43%4.35%3.21%3.11%3.70%2.99%2.88%2.86%3.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)34.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.81
(=) Cash Retained (M)15.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.884.302.58
Cash Retained (M)15.6015.6015.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.88-4.30-2.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.7211.3013.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.5916.5916.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.530.680.78
LTM Dividend per Share1.131.131.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.530.680.78
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.661.811.92
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate1.95%2.95%3.95%
Fair Value$23.74$30.50$38.91
Upside / Downside-16.11%7.78%37.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)34.4135.4336.4737.5538.6639.8041.00
Payout Ratio54.67%61.74%68.80%75.87%82.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.8121.8725.0928.4932.0635.8237.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate1.95%2.95%3.95%
Year 1 PV (M)19.8620.0520.25
Year 2 PV (M)20.6821.0921.50
Year 3 PV (M)21.3221.9522.60
Year 4 PV (M)21.7822.6523.54
Year 5 PV (M)22.0923.2024.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)384.66403.90423.90
Equity Value (M)490.39512.83536.13
Shares Outstanding (M)16.5916.5916.59
Fair Value$29.56$30.91$32.31
Upside / Downside4.44%9.22%14.18%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 6 of 30 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
FFord Motor Company5.53%$0.7463.45%
LCNBLCNB Corp.5.48%$0.8953.03%
PPBIPacific Premier Bancorp, Inc.5.48%$1.3492.42%
VGRVector Group Ltd.5.48%$0.8263.35%
DLXDeluxe Corporation5.43%$1.2166.43%
BAFNBayFirst Financial Corp.5.41%$0.4321.50%
IPGThe Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc.5.41%$1.3388.72%
PEBOPeoples Bancorp Inc.5.39%$1.6256.40%
OKEONEOK, Inc.5.38%$4.0075.29%
BUSEFirst Busey Corporation5.37%$1.2875.92%
OASOasis Petroleum Inc.5.37%$5.8765.40%
EIXEdison International5.36%$3.2639.45%
0R1X.LGeneral Mills, Inc.5.35%$2.4545.62%
FIBKFirst Interstate BancSystem, Inc.5.35%$1.8979.54%
FNCBFNCB Bancorp, Inc.5.33%$0.3651.41%
DHILDiamond Hill Investment Group, Inc.5.31%$9.0552.46%
SLRCSLR Investment Corp.5.31%$0.8249.67%
EPSNEpsilon Energy Ltd.5.30%$0.2491.92%
UVVUniversal Corporation5.28%$2.7862.64%
FLICThe First of Long Island Corporation5.27%$0.6386.64%
AUBAtlantic Union Bankshares Corporation5.22%$1.8576.04%
SAFESafehold Inc.5.20%$0.7145.17%
GAB-PGThe Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. PFD-G5.19%$1.0881.70%
HPQHP Inc.5.19%$1.1543.02%
SOISolaris Oilfield Infrastructure, Inc.5.18%$0.7025.64%
MBINOMerchants Bancorp5.17%$1.2924.09%
0JXQ.LMain Street Capital Corporation5.13%$3.1752.63%
EMNEastman Chemical Company5.12%$3.2954.36%
EMBCEmbecta Corp.5.10%$0.5936.96%
AMAntero Midstream Corporation5.09%$0.9193.18%
CZNCCitizens & Northern Corporation5.09%$1.0257.64%
FMNBFarmers National Banc Corp.5.09%$0.6846.83%
0J66.LHost Hotels & Resorts, Inc.5.08%$0.9084.69%
GLPIGaming and Leisure Properties, Inc.5.07%$2.2582.42%
PFISPeoples Financial Services Corp.5.07%$2.4446.22%
TBBAT&T Inc. 5.35% GLB NTS 665.07%$1.1436.88%
KFRCKforce Inc.5.02%$1.5768.10%
TTPTortoise Pipeline & Energy Fund, Inc.5.02%$2.3920.11%
STAR-PGiStar Inc.4.94%$1.2434.23%
PFSProvident Financial Services, Inc.4.93%$0.9761.13%
UBFOUnited Security Bancshares4.92%$0.4873.45%
DDTDillards Capital Trust I CAP SECS 7.5%4.90%$1.293.46%
SGUStar Group, L.P.4.89%$0.5836.90%
AGRAvangrid, Inc.4.88%$1.7660.70%
KMBKimberly-Clark Corporation4.88%$4.9583.80%
OCFCOceanFirst Financial Corp.4.86%$0.8761.98%
0I0J.LThe Clorox Company4.85%$4.8976.11%
FNLCThe First Bancorp, Inc.4.83%$1.2845.40%
RILYZB. Riley Financial, Inc. 5.25% Senior Notes due 20284.83%$0.5856.91%
BSETBassett Furniture Industries, Incorporated4.82%$0.8089.43%