Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $421.41 - $802.58 | $752.14 |
| Multi-Stage | $125.79 - $137.69 | $131.63 |
| Blended Fair Value | $441.88 | |
| Current Price | $53.00 | |
| Upside | 733.74% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 132.42% | 62.05% | 1.29 | 0.73 | 0.24 | 1.00 | 0.22 | 0.02 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.03 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 76.64% | 203.59% | -75.98% | 352.76% | 1,062.82% | -86.96% | -0.14% | 338.73% | 1,135.99% | -73.93% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 3.32% | 1.63% | 0.49% | 1.76% | 0.31% | 0.04% | 0.50% | 1.38% | 0.52% | 0.04% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 22,179.10 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 9,279.11 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 12,899.99 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 4,435.82 | 2,772.39 | 1,663.43 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 12,899.99 | 12,899.99 | 12,899.99 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -4,435.82 | -2,772.39 | -1,663.43 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 8,464.17 | 10,127.60 | 11,236.56 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 5,495.86 | 5,495.86 | 5,495.86 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 1.54 | 1.84 | 2.04 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 1.69 | 1.69 | 1.69 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 1.54 | 1.84 | 2.04 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 3.23 | 3.53 | 3.73 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.31% | 6.31% | 6.31% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $421.41 | $752.14 | $802.58 |
| Upside / Downside | 695.11% | 1,319.12% | 1,414.30% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 22,179.10 | 23,620.74 | 25,156.09 | 26,791.23 | 28,532.66 | 30,387.28 | 31,298.90 |
| Payout Ratio | 41.84% | 51.47% | 61.10% | 70.73% | 80.37% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 9,279.11 | 12,157.53 | 15,370.95 | 18,950.74 | 22,930.97 | 27,348.56 | 28,951.49 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.31% | 6.31% | 6.31% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 11,328.73 | 11,436.11 | 11,543.49 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 13,346.65 | 13,600.87 | 13,857.48 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 15,333.24 | 15,773.40 | 16,221.90 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 17,288.84 | 17,953.72 | 18,637.60 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 19,213.82 | 20,141.86 | 21,105.41 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 614,824.64 | 644,520.90 | 675,353.71 |
| Equity Value (M) | 691,335.93 | 723,426.86 | 756,719.60 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 5,495.86 | 5,495.86 | 5,495.86 |
| Fair Value | $125.79 | $131.63 | $137.69 |
| Upside / Downside | 137.34% | 148.36% | 159.79% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | Ford Motor Company | 5.53% | $0.74 | 63.45% |
| LCNB | LCNB Corp. | 5.48% | $0.89 | 53.03% |
| PPBI | Pacific Premier Bancorp, Inc. | 5.48% | $1.34 | 92.42% |
| VGR | Vector Group Ltd. | 5.48% | $0.82 | 63.35% |
| DLX | Deluxe Corporation | 5.43% | $1.21 | 66.43% |
| BAFN | BayFirst Financial Corp. | 5.41% | $0.43 | 21.50% |
| IPG | The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. | 5.41% | $1.33 | 88.72% |
| PEBO | Peoples Bancorp Inc. | 5.39% | $1.62 | 56.40% |
| OKE | ONEOK, Inc. | 5.38% | $4.00 | 75.29% |
| BUSE | First Busey Corporation | 5.37% | $1.28 | 75.92% |
| OAS | Oasis Petroleum Inc. | 5.37% | $5.87 | 65.40% |
| EIX | Edison International | 5.36% | $3.26 | 39.45% |
| 0R1X.L | General Mills, Inc. | 5.35% | $2.45 | 45.62% |
| FIBK | First Interstate BancSystem, Inc. | 5.35% | $1.89 | 79.54% |
| FNCB | FNCB Bancorp, Inc. | 5.33% | $0.36 | 51.41% |
| DHIL | Diamond Hill Investment Group, Inc. | 5.31% | $9.05 | 52.46% |
| SLRC | SLR Investment Corp. | 5.31% | $0.82 | 49.67% |
| EPSN | Epsilon Energy Ltd. | 5.30% | $0.24 | 91.92% |
| UVV | Universal Corporation | 5.28% | $2.78 | 62.64% |
| FLIC | The First of Long Island Corporation | 5.27% | $0.63 | 86.64% |
| AUB | Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation | 5.22% | $1.85 | 76.04% |
| SAFE | Safehold Inc. | 5.20% | $0.71 | 45.17% |
| GAB-PG | The Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. PFD-G | 5.19% | $1.08 | 81.70% |
| HPQ | HP Inc. | 5.19% | $1.15 | 43.02% |
| SOI | Solaris Oilfield Infrastructure, Inc. | 5.18% | $0.70 | 25.64% |
| MBINO | Merchants Bancorp | 5.17% | $1.29 | 24.09% |
| 0JXQ.L | Main Street Capital Corporation | 5.13% | $3.17 | 52.63% |
| EMN | Eastman Chemical Company | 5.12% | $3.29 | 54.36% |
| EMBC | Embecta Corp. | 5.10% | $0.59 | 36.96% |
| AM | Antero Midstream Corporation | 5.09% | $0.91 | 93.18% |
| CZNC | Citizens & Northern Corporation | 5.09% | $1.02 | 57.64% |
| FMNB | Farmers National Banc Corp. | 5.09% | $0.68 | 46.83% |
| 0J66.L | Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | 5.08% | $0.90 | 84.69% |
| GLPI | Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. | 5.07% | $2.25 | 82.42% |
| PFIS | Peoples Financial Services Corp. | 5.07% | $2.44 | 46.22% |
| TBB | AT&T Inc. 5.35% GLB NTS 66 | 5.07% | $1.14 | 36.88% |
| KFRC | Kforce Inc. | 5.02% | $1.57 | 68.10% |
| TTP | Tortoise Pipeline & Energy Fund, Inc. | 5.02% | $2.39 | 20.11% |
| STAR-PG | iStar Inc. | 4.94% | $1.24 | 34.23% |
| PFS | Provident Financial Services, Inc. | 4.93% | $0.97 | 61.13% |
| UBFO | United Security Bancshares | 4.92% | $0.48 | 73.45% |
| DDT | Dillards Capital Trust I CAP SECS 7.5% | 4.90% | $1.29 | 3.46% |
| SGU | Star Group, L.P. | 4.89% | $0.58 | 36.90% |
| AGR | Avangrid, Inc. | 4.88% | $1.76 | 60.70% |
| KMB | Kimberly-Clark Corporation | 4.88% | $4.95 | 83.80% |
| OCFC | OceanFirst Financial Corp. | 4.86% | $0.87 | 61.98% |
| 0I0J.L | The Clorox Company | 4.85% | $4.89 | 76.11% |
| FNLC | The First Bancorp, Inc. | 4.83% | $1.28 | 45.40% |
| RILYZ | B. Riley Financial, Inc. 5.25% Senior Notes due 2028 | 4.83% | $0.58 | 56.91% |
| BSET | Bassett Furniture Industries, Incorporated | 4.82% | $0.80 | 89.43% |