Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $3,449.22 - $6,410.84 | $4,661.98 |
| Multi-Stage | $4,004.93 - $4,389.96 | $4,193.83 |
| Blended Fair Value | $4,427.91 | |
| Current Price | $1,285.00 | |
| Upside | 244.58% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 4.51% | 4.10% | 49.89 | 43.39 | 16.93 | 0.00 | 1.49 | 40.01 | 43.14 | 37.32 | 26.38 | 15.90 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 14.97% | 156.29% | 0.00% | -100.00% | -96.27% | -7.25% | 15.60% | 41.49% | 65.91% | -52.39% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 5.64% | 2.91% | 1.38% | 0.00% | 0.09% | 4.94% | 1.88% | 1.11% | 1.21% | 0.94% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 3,227,615.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 751,833.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 2,475,782.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 645,523.00 | 403,451.88 | 242,071.13 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 2,475,782.00 | 2,475,782.00 | 2,475,782.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -645,523.00 | -403,451.88 | -242,071.13 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 1,830,259.00 | 2,072,330.13 | 2,233,710.88 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 14,034.44 | 14,034.44 | 14,034.44 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 130.41 | 147.66 | 159.16 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 53.57 | 53.57 | 53.57 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 130.41 | 147.66 | 159.16 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 183.98 | 201.23 | 212.73 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.98% | 7.98% | 7.98% |
| Growth Rate | 2.51% | 3.51% | 4.51% |
| Fair Value | $3,449.22 | $4,661.98 | $6,410.84 |
| Upside / Downside | 168.42% | 262.80% | 398.90% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 3,227,615.00 | 3,340,929.34 | 3,458,221.89 | 3,579,632.32 | 3,705,305.21 | 3,835,390.18 | 3,950,451.88 |
| Payout Ratio | 23.29% | 36.64% | 49.98% | 63.32% | 76.66% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 751,833.00 | 1,223,949.82 | 1,728,289.90 | 2,266,533.89 | 2,840,440.75 | 3,451,851.16 | 3,654,167.99 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.98% | 7.98% | 7.98% |
| Growth Rate | 2.51% | 3.51% | 4.51% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 1,122,559.36 | 1,133,510.01 | 1,144,460.66 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 1,453,811.15 | 1,482,313.57 | 1,511,092.67 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 1,748,635.64 | 1,800,310.67 | 1,852,993.86 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 2,009,872.68 | 2,089,453.54 | 2,171,374.59 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 2,240,167.93 | 2,351,585.60 | 2,467,393.02 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 47,631,867.41 | 50,000,900.38 | 52,463,271.03 |
| Equity Value (M) | 56,206,914.17 | 58,858,073.77 | 61,610,585.82 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 14,034.44 | 14,034.44 | 14,034.44 |
| Fair Value | $4,004.93 | $4,193.83 | $4,389.96 |
| Upside / Downside | 211.67% | 226.37% | 241.63% |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| QFBQ.QA | Lesha Bank L.L.C | 2.69% | $0.05 | 32.62% |
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| 016800.KS | Fursys Inc. | 2.68% | $1,200.17 | 30.47% |
| 265520.KQ | Advanced Process Systems Corporation | 2.68% | $538.10 | 30.22% |
| 300896.SZ | Imeik Technology Development Co.,Ltd. | 2.68% | $3.80 | 78.17% |
| 3123.T | Saibo Co., Ltd. | 2.68% | $16.14 | 26.87% |
| 9057.T | Enshu Truck Co.,Ltd. | 2.68% | $96.08 | 31.06% |
| CHC.AX | Charter Hall Group | 2.68% | $0.65 | 53.83% |
| IFT.AX | Infratil Limited | 2.68% | $0.26 | 47.86% |
| KRZ.IR | Kerry Group plc | 2.68% | $2.04 | 27.68% |
| MGH.AX | MAAS Group Holdings Limited | 2.68% | $0.15 | 37.02% |
| NOA | North American Construction Group Ltd. | 2.68% | $0.39 | 32.95% |
| U06.SI | Singapore Land Group Limited | 2.68% | $0.09 | 24.45% |
| 000089.SZ | Shenzhen Airport Co., Ltd. | 2.67% | $0.19 | 65.57% |
| 000830.SZ | Luxi Chemical Group Co., Ltd. | 2.67% | $0.44 | 57.18% |
| 005820.KS | Wonlim Corporation | 2.67% | $399.88 | 22.01% |
| 007980.KS | TP Inc. | 2.67% | $51.62 | 7.46% |
| 049800.KS | Woojin Plaimm Co., Ltd. | 2.67% | $50.67 | 26.03% |
| 300009.SZ | Anhui Anke Biotechnology (Group) Co., Ltd. | 2.67% | $0.26 | 62.51% |
| 6220.TWO | YFC-Boneagle Electric Co., Ltd. | 2.67% | $0.69 | 89.25% |
| 002753.SZ | Shanxi Yongdong Chemistry Industry Co., Ltd. | 2.66% | $0.19 | 90.03% |
| 011200.KS | HMM Co.,Ltd | 2.66% | $537.67 | 22.84% |
| 014830.KS | UNID Company Ltd. | 2.66% | $1,782.26 | 16.95% |
| 023450.KS | Dongnam Chemical Co., Ltd. | 2.66% | $914.85 | 45.96% |
| 210540.KS | DY Power Corporation | 2.66% | $350.13 | 14.53% |
| 600729.SS | Chongqing Department Store Co.,Ltd. | 2.66% | $0.69 | 21.76% |
| 7282.T | Toyoda Gosei Co., Ltd. | 2.66% | $104.88 | 29.11% |
| 7989.T | Tachikawa Corporation | 2.66% | $52.44 | 33.02% |
| 9699.T | Nishio Rent All Co., Ltd. | 2.66% | $125.96 | 28.89% |
| 069730.KS | DSR Wire Corp | 2.65% | $99.93 | 6.22% |
| 118990.KQ | Motrex Co., Ltd | 2.65% | $249.25 | 35.67% |
| OLGERD.IC | Ölgerðin Egill Skallagrímsson hf. | 2.65% | $0.48 | 62.79% |
| 084010.KS | Daehan Steel Co., Ltd. | 2.64% | $516.54 | 29.55% |
| 0DH7.L | AF Gruppen ASA | 2.64% | $4.97 | 52.35% |
| 1504.TW | TECO Electric & Machinery Co., Ltd. | 2.64% | $2.23 | 87.91% |
| 2587.T | Suntory Beverage & Food Limited | 2.64% | $125.00 | 45.12% |
| 6922.TWO | Neousys Technology Inc. | 2.64% | $4.54 | 61.30% |
| SHR.BK | S Hotels and Resorts Public Company Limited | 2.64% | $0.05 | 33.96% |
| 002871.SZ | Qingdao Weflo Valve Co., Ltd. | 2.63% | $0.47 | 79.89% |
| 600918.SS | Zhongtai Securities Co., Ltd. | 2.63% | $0.17 | 68.20% |
| 8572.T | Acom Co., Ltd. | 2.63% | $13.00 | 38.71% |
| LIAB.ST | Lindab International AB (publ) | 2.63% | $5.40 | 76.19% |
| MYOR.JK | PT Mayora Indah Tbk | 2.63% | $57.38 | 45.12% |
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| 039490.KS | Kiwoom Securities Co., Ltd. | 2.62% | $7,904.33 | 20.30% |
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| AFK.OL | Arendals Fossekompani ASA | 2.62% | $3.52 | 5.05% |
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