DDM Analysis: MC

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$52.66 - $106.53	$73.49
Multi-Stage	$42.85 - $46.59	$44.69
Blended Fair Value	$59.09
Current Price	$71.32
Upside	-17.15%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-56.91%	-39.30%	0.04	2.32	2.23	6.11	3.60	2.66	4.00	3.26	1.97	1.03
YoY Growth	-	-	-98.29%	4.30%	-63.61%	69.65%	35.25%	-33.35%	22.74%	65.28%	91.21%	-82.32%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.07%	4.13%	5.79%	13.02%	6.57%	9.48%	9.26%	6.41%	5.12%	3.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	234.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	201.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)	33.09

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	46.91	29.32	17.59
Cash Retained (M)	33.09	33.09	33.09
(-) Cash Required (M)	-46.91	-29.32	-17.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-13.82	3.77	15.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	78.49	78.49	78.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.18	0.05	0.20
LTM Dividend per Share	2.57	2.57	2.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.18	0.05	0.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.39	2.61	2.76
WACC / Discount Rate	10.29%	10.29%	10.29%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$52.66	$73.49	$106.53
Upside / Downside	-26.16%	3.04%	49.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	234.57	249.82	266.06	283.35	301.77	321.38	331.02
Payout Ratio	85.89%	86.71%	87.54%	88.36%	89.18%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	201.48	216.63	232.89	250.36	269.11	289.24	306.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.29%	10.29%	10.29%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	194.57	196.42	198.26
Year 2 PV (M)	187.89	191.47	195.08
Year 3 PV (M)	181.41	186.62	191.93
Year 4 PV (M)	175.15	181.89	188.81
Year 5 PV (M)	169.09	177.25	185.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,455.59	2,574.20	2,697.34
Equity Value (M)	3,363.70	3,507.84	3,657.16
Shares Outstanding (M)	78.49	78.49	78.49
Fair Value	$42.85	$44.69	$46.59
Upside / Downside	-39.91%	-37.34%	-34.67%

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600167.SS	Luenmei Quantum Co.,Ltd	2.90%	$0.20	65.26%
IBAB.BR	Ion Beam Applications S.A.	2.90%	$0.38	44.34%
METCO.BK	Muramoto Electron (Thailand) Public Company Limited	2.90%	$8.00	15.20%
002852.SZ	Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co.,Ltd.	2.89%	$0.30	37.22%
005680.KS	Samyoung Electronics Co., Ltd	2.89%	$300.77	49.07%
600526.SS	Zhejiang Feida Environmental Science & Technology Co., Ltd.	2.89%	$0.15	48.23%
601377.SS	Industrial Securities Co.,Ltd.	2.89%	$0.21	55.11%
688697.SS	Neway CNC Equipment (Suzhou) Co., Ltd.	2.89%	$0.44	66.80%
7738.TWO	Eui	2.89%	$5.50	39.18%
AMXB.MX	América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V.	2.89%	$0.54	43.68%
OMASP.HE	Oma Säästöpankki Oyj	2.89%	$0.36	25.24%
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3357.TWO	TAI-TECH Advanced Electronics Co., Ltd.	2.88%	$4.61	48.95%
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603043.SS	Guangzhou Restaurant Group Company Limited	2.88%	$0.51	57.82%
PAX	Patria Investments Limited	2.88%	$0.46	66.16%
000528.SZ	Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co., Ltd.	2.87%	$0.34	51.00%
2233.HK	West China Cement Limited	2.87%	$0.09	38.77%
600660.SS	Fuyao Glass Industry Group Co., Ltd.	2.87%	$1.86	53.34%
603579.SS	Shanghai Rongtai Health Technology Corporation Limited	2.87%	$0.68	77.63%
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Financial Statements

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Moelis & Company (MC)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener