DDM Analysis: KMB

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$69.27 - $115.78	$89.73
Multi-Stage	$137.44 - $150.84	$144.01
Blended Fair Value	$116.87
Current Price	$124.34
Upside	-6.01%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	2.95%	2.63%	4.88	4.76	4.67	4.54	4.35	4.22	4.15	4.07	3.93	3.81
YoY Growth	-	-	2.52%	1.93%	2.77%	4.48%	3.05%	1.59%	1.99%	3.66%	3.07%	1.27%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.43%	3.70%	3.48%	3.69%	3.13%	3.30%	3.38%	3.70%	2.99%	2.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,969.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,650.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	319.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	393.80	246.13	147.68
Cash Retained (M)	319.00	319.00	319.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-393.80	-246.13	-147.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-74.80	72.88	171.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	333.58	333.58	333.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.22	0.22	0.51
LTM Dividend per Share	4.95	4.95	4.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.22	0.22	0.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.72	5.16	5.46
WACC / Discount Rate	6.48%	6.48%	6.48%
Growth Rate	-0.31%	0.69%	1.69%
Fair Value	$69.27	$89.73	$115.78
Upside / Downside	-44.29%	-27.83%	-6.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,969.00	1,982.49	1,996.08	2,009.76	2,023.53	2,037.40	2,098.52
Payout Ratio	83.80%	85.04%	86.28%	87.52%	88.76%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,650.00	1,685.90	1,722.20	1,758.93	1,796.08	1,833.66	1,941.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.48%	6.48%	6.48%
Growth Rate	-0.31%	0.69%	1.69%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,567.56	1,583.29	1,599.01
Year 2 PV (M)	1,488.93	1,518.95	1,549.27
Year 3 PV (M)	1,413.95	1,456.93	1,500.77
Year 4 PV (M)	1,342.47	1,397.16	1,453.50
Year 5 PV (M)	1,274.36	1,339.58	1,407.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)	38,759.61	40,743.11	42,806.99
Equity Value (M)	45,846.89	48,039.01	50,316.98
Shares Outstanding (M)	333.58	333.58	333.58
Fair Value	$137.44	$144.01	$150.84
Upside / Downside	10.54%	15.82%	21.31%

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Kimberly-Clark Corporation (KMB)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener