DDM Analysis: EXC

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$13.31 - $18.07	$15.74
Multi-Stage	$37.24 - $41.15	$39.15
Blended Fair Value	$27.44
Current Price	$45.01
Upside	-39.03%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-11.23%	-3.12%	0.77	1.42	1.32	1.49	1.48	1.40	1.32	1.23	1.16	1.10
YoY Growth	-	-	-45.85%	7.42%	-10.89%	0.34%	5.97%	5.71%	7.77%	6.00%	5.52%	3.76%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.67%	3.82%	3.16%	3.12%	4.75%	5.32%	3.72%	4.41%	4.51%	4.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,821.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,594.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,227.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	564.20	352.63	211.58
Cash Retained (M)	1,227.00	1,227.00	1,227.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-564.20	-352.63	-211.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)	662.80	874.38	1,015.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,007.39	1,007.39	1,007.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.66	0.87	1.01
LTM Dividend per Share	1.58	1.58	1.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.66	0.87	1.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.24	2.45	2.59
WACC / Discount Rate	7.01%	7.01%	7.01%
Growth Rate	-8.40%	-7.40%	-6.40%
Fair Value	$13.31	$15.74	$18.07
Upside / Downside	-70.43%	-65.04%	-59.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,821.00	2,612.16	2,418.78	2,239.71	2,073.91	1,920.37	1,977.98
Payout Ratio	56.50%	63.20%	69.90%	76.60%	83.30%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,594.00	1,650.98	1,690.80	1,715.66	1,727.58	1,728.33	1,829.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.01%	7.01%	7.01%
Growth Rate	-8.40%	-7.40%	-6.40%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,526.11	1,542.77	1,559.43
Year 2 PV (M)	1,444.69	1,476.41	1,508.47
Year 3 PV (M)	1,355.06	1,399.93	1,445.77
Year 4 PV (M)	1,261.27	1,317.26	1,375.09
Year 5 PV (M)	1,166.38	1,231.45	1,299.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)	30,757.77	32,473.81	34,265.60
Equity Value (M)	37,511.28	39,441.62	41,453.76
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,007.39	1,007.39	1,007.39
Fair Value	$37.24	$39.15	$41.15
Upside / Downside	-17.27%	-13.01%	-8.58%

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Exelon Corporation (EXC)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener