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Definitive Analysis

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EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$321.22 - $1,566.64$571.32
Multi-Stage$196.62 - $214.85$205.56
Blended Fair Value$388.44
Current Price$112.12
Upside246.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.82%22.26%3.796.159.344.871.491.070.800.700.680.67
YoY Growth---38.36%-34.23%91.80%226.99%39.55%34.28%13.33%3.67%1.59%31.22%
Dividend Yield--2.95%4.74%8.15%4.09%2.05%2.97%0.82%0.67%0.70%0.92%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,530.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,120.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,410.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,106.00691.25414.75
Cash Retained (M)3,410.003,410.003,410.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,106.00-691.25-414.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,304.002,718.752,995.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)551.00551.00551.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.184.935.44
LTM Dividend per Share3.853.853.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.184.935.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.038.789.28
WACC / Discount Rate8.14%8.14%8.14%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$321.22$571.32$1,566.64
Upside / Downside186.50%409.56%1,297.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,530.005,889.456,272.266,679.967,114.167,576.587,803.88
Payout Ratio38.34%48.67%59.00%69.33%79.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,120.002,866.343,700.754,631.525,667.666,818.927,218.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.14%8.14%8.14%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,625.772,650.662,675.55
Year 2 PV (M)3,105.613,164.763,224.47
Year 3 PV (M)3,560.483,662.693,766.84
Year 4 PV (M)3,991.334,144.824,302.70
Year 5 PV (M)4,399.044,611.524,832.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)90,653.1895,031.7699,577.92
Equity Value (M)108,335.40113,266.21118,379.60
Shares Outstanding (M)551.00551.00551.00
Fair Value$196.62$205.56$214.85
Upside / Downside75.36%83.34%91.62%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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