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EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$236.61 - $631.64$362.50
Multi-Stage$164.30 - $179.37$171.70
Blended Fair Value$267.10
Current Price$112.12
Upside138.23%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.82%22.26%3.796.159.344.871.491.070.800.700.680.67
YoY Growth---38.36%-34.23%91.80%226.99%39.55%34.28%13.33%3.67%1.59%31.22%
Dividend Yield--2.95%4.74%8.15%4.09%2.05%2.97%0.82%0.67%0.70%0.92%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,530.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,120.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,410.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,106.00691.25414.75
Cash Retained (M)3,410.003,410.003,410.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,106.00-691.25-414.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,304.002,718.752,995.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)551.00551.00551.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.184.935.44
LTM Dividend per Share3.853.853.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.184.935.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.038.789.28
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$236.61$362.50$631.64
Upside / Downside111.03%223.32%463.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,530.005,889.456,272.266,679.967,114.167,576.587,803.88
Payout Ratio38.34%48.67%59.00%69.33%79.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,120.002,866.343,700.754,631.525,667.666,818.927,218.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.08%9.08%9.08%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,603.072,627.742,652.42
Year 2 PV (M)3,052.143,110.283,168.96
Year 3 PV (M)3,468.943,568.523,669.99
Year 4 PV (M)3,855.094,003.344,155.84
Year 5 PV (M)4,212.154,415.604,626.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)73,339.3776,881.6980,559.58
Equity Value (M)90,530.7694,607.1898,833.62
Shares Outstanding (M)551.00551.00551.00
Fair Value$164.30$171.70$179.37
Upside / Downside46.54%53.14%59.98%

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