Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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WHA Corporation Public Company Limited (WHA-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$30.14 - $65.68$61.55
Multi-Stage$10.03 - $10.98$10.50
Blended Fair Value$36.02
Current Price$3.56
Upside911.93%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.84%15.48%0.180.170.160.110.120.190.120.200.000.02
YoY Growth--9.98%3.12%43.03%-2.24%-39.55%61.37%-39.84%25,533.58%-96.62%-47.67%
Dividend Yield--5.38%3.47%3.77%3.35%3.33%8.72%2.80%5.28%0.02%0.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,936.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,848.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,087.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)987.30617.06370.24
Cash Retained (M)2,087.712,087.712,087.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-987.30-617.06-370.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,100.411,470.651,717.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14,946.9714,946.9714,946.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.100.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.190.190.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.100.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.260.290.31
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$30.14$61.55$65.68
Upside / Downside746.66%1,629.03%1,745.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,936.505,257.375,599.105,963.046,350.646,763.436,966.33
Payout Ratio57.71%64.17%70.63%77.08%83.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,848.793,373.493,954.384,596.525,305.436,087.096,443.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,140.073,169.843,199.60
Year 2 PV (M)3,426.083,491.343,557.21
Year 3 PV (M)3,706.883,813.303,921.72
Year 4 PV (M)3,982.554,135.714,293.24
Year 5 PV (M)4,253.144,458.574,671.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)131,465.18137,814.99144,407.83
Equity Value (M)149,973.90156,883.74164,051.47
Shares Outstanding (M)14,946.9714,946.9714,946.97
Fair Value$10.03$10.50$10.98
Upside / Downside181.85%194.83%208.30%

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