Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Periods / Units / Analysis

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Trustmark Corporation (TRMK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.51 - $34.97$29.65
Multi-Stage$43.40 - $47.74$45.53
Blended Fair Value$37.59
Current Price$39.60
Upside-5.08%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.03%-0.95%0.930.930.930.950.960.981.021.031.031.03
YoY Growth--0.24%-0.05%-2.42%-1.16%-1.73%-4.20%-0.59%0.21%0.10%0.21%
Dividend Yield--2.70%3.38%3.76%3.14%2.86%4.21%2.97%3.31%3.23%4.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)222.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)58.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)164.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)44.5127.8216.69
Cash Retained (M)164.45164.45164.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-44.51-27.82-16.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)119.94136.63147.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)60.9660.9660.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.972.242.42
LTM Dividend per Share0.950.950.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.972.242.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.923.193.38
WACC / Discount Rate8.62%8.62%8.62%
Growth Rate-2.95%-1.95%-0.95%
Fair Value$24.51$29.65$34.97
Upside / Downside-38.10%-25.13%-11.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)222.57218.23213.98209.81205.72201.71207.76
Payout Ratio26.11%38.89%51.67%64.45%77.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)58.1284.87110.56135.21158.86181.54192.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.62%8.62%8.62%
Growth Rate-2.95%-1.95%-0.95%
Year 1 PV (M)77.3478.1478.94
Year 2 PV (M)91.8193.7295.64
Year 3 PV (M)102.33105.52108.78
Year 4 PV (M)109.56114.14118.87
Year 5 PV (M)114.09120.09126.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,150.932,264.052,381.88
Equity Value (M)2,646.062,775.672,910.46
Shares Outstanding (M)60.9660.9660.96
Fair Value$43.40$45.53$47.74
Upside / Downside9.60%14.97%20.56%

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