Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Ticker

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Sector

Sensient Technologies Corporation (SXT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.88 - $60.24$47.32
Multi-Stage$49.95 - $54.68$52.27
Blended Fair Value$49.79
Current Price$93.85
Upside-46.94%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.17%3.75%1.631.631.621.571.551.461.351.271.171.13
YoY Growth--0.00%0.45%3.33%0.96%6.22%8.33%6.24%8.87%3.17%0.45%
Dividend Yield--2.19%2.37%2.12%1.87%1.99%3.36%1.97%1.80%1.47%1.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)139.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)69.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)69.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.8217.3910.43
Cash Retained (M)69.5569.5569.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.82-17.39-10.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)41.7352.1659.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)42.5342.5342.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.981.231.39
LTM Dividend per Share1.641.641.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.981.231.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.622.863.03
WACC / Discount Rate8.50%8.50%8.50%
Growth Rate1.31%2.31%3.31%
Fair Value$36.88$47.32$60.24
Upside / Downside-60.70%-49.58%-35.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)139.11142.33145.62148.99152.44155.97160.65
Payout Ratio50.00%58.00%66.00%74.00%82.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)69.5682.5696.12110.26125.01140.38148.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.50%8.50%8.50%
Growth Rate1.31%2.31%3.31%
Year 1 PV (M)75.3476.0976.83
Year 2 PV (M)80.0581.6483.24
Year 3 PV (M)83.8186.3188.87
Year 4 PV (M)86.7190.1993.77
Year 5 PV (M)88.8793.3497.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,709.291,795.321,884.79
Equity Value (M)2,124.072,222.892,325.49
Shares Outstanding (M)42.5342.5342.53
Fair Value$49.95$52.27$54.68
Upside / Downside-46.78%-44.31%-41.73%

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