Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SuRo Capital Corp. 6.00% Notes due 2026 (SSSSL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.47 - $41.98$33.54
Multi-Stage$66.76 - $73.66$70.14
Blended Fair Value$51.84
Current Price$9.00
Upside475.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.031.01
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-96.63%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.76%17.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)68.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)63.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.808.625.17
Cash Retained (M)63.1563.1563.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.80-8.62-5.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)49.3554.5357.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.1826.1826.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.892.082.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.892.082.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.112.312.44
WACC / Discount Rate5.81%5.81%5.81%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$26.47$33.54$41.98
Upside / Downside194.06%272.64%366.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)68.9868.2967.6166.9366.2665.6067.57
Payout Ratio8.46%24.77%41.07%57.38%73.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.8316.9127.7738.4148.8359.0462.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.81%5.81%5.81%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)15.8215.9816.15
Year 2 PV (M)24.3124.8125.31
Year 3 PV (M)31.4532.4333.42
Year 4 PV (M)37.4138.9640.56
Year 5 PV (M)42.3244.5246.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,596.201,679.321,765.86
Equity Value (M)1,747.521,836.021,928.12
Shares Outstanding (M)26.1826.1826.18
Fair Value$66.76$70.14$73.66
Upside / Downside641.76%679.32%718.41%

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