Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

SC Asset Corporation Public Company Limited (SC-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.18 - $24.38$12.95
Multi-Stage$9.47 - $10.38$9.91
Blended Fair Value$11.43
Current Price$1.95
Upside486.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.08%7.26%0.210.250.280.180.190.160.120.190.180.07
YoY Growth---15.79%-9.69%56.67%-5.08%18.75%33.33%-36.84%5.56%153.12%-33.28%
Dividend Yield--8.82%6.60%6.45%4.64%5.73%8.54%3.91%5.07%4.75%2.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,406.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)684.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)722.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)281.37175.86105.51
Cash Retained (M)722.65722.65722.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-281.37-175.86-105.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)441.28546.80617.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,277.624,277.624,277.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.130.14
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.130.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.260.290.30
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate2.89%3.89%4.89%
Fair Value$8.18$12.95$24.38
Upside / Downside319.56%564.05%1,150.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,406.861,461.531,518.311,577.311,638.601,702.271,753.33
Payout Ratio48.63%56.91%65.18%73.45%81.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)684.21831.71989.641,158.591,339.171,532.041,621.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate2.89%3.89%4.89%
Year 1 PV (M)775.66783.20790.74
Year 2 PV (M)860.74877.56894.53
Year 3 PV (M)939.77967.44995.65
Year 4 PV (M)1,013.041,053.011,094.14
Year 5 PV (M)1,080.841,134.391,190.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)35,819.7637,594.6939,439.29
Equity Value (M)40,489.8242,410.2944,404.40
Shares Outstanding (M)4,277.624,277.624,277.62
Fair Value$9.47$9.91$10.38
Upside / Downside385.41%408.43%432.34%

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