Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Analysis Mode

Ticker / Industry / Sector

Rubis (RUI.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$584.13 - $1,325.84$1,242.50
Multi-Stage$202.19 - $221.05$211.45
Blended Fair Value$726.97
Current Price$27.42
Upside2,551.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.81%14.46%2.721.901.840.810.801.491.631.281.200.81
YoY Growth--42.91%3.38%128.60%0.29%-46.07%-8.71%27.26%6.49%48.81%14.73%
Dividend Yield--11.39%8.46%7.49%3.07%2.12%2.72%3.48%2.18%3.07%2.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)691.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)503.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)188.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)138.3386.4551.87
Cash Retained (M)188.64188.64188.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-138.33-86.45-51.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)50.31102.18136.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)103.74103.74103.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.480.981.32
LTM Dividend per Share4.854.854.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.480.981.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.335.836.17
WACC / Discount Rate6.46%6.46%6.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$584.13$1,242.50$1,325.84
Upside / Downside2,030.32%4,431.38%4,735.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)691.64736.59784.47835.46889.77947.60976.03
Payout Ratio72.73%76.18%79.64%83.09%86.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)503.00561.14624.72694.19770.05852.84902.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.46%6.46%6.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)522.12527.07532.02
Year 2 PV (M)540.87551.17561.57
Year 3 PV (M)559.22575.28591.63
Year 4 PV (M)577.21599.40622.24
Year 5 PV (M)594.82623.55653.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,181.7319,059.9219,971.71
Equity Value (M)20,975.9721,936.3822,932.55
Shares Outstanding (M)103.74103.74103.74
Fair Value$202.19$211.45$221.05
Upside / Downside637.37%671.14%706.15%

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