Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

OEM International AB (publ) (OEM-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - DistributionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$82.17 - $175.21$116.88
Multi-Stage$61.68 - $67.27$64.42
Blended Fair Value$90.65
Current Price$143.00
Upside-36.61%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.27%10.15%1.751.501.371.250.001.121.000.910.830.71
YoY Growth--16.83%9.13%9.98%0.00%-100.00%12.55%9.05%10.04%17.62%6.28%
Dividend Yield--1.28%1.41%1.50%1.53%0.00%3.46%3.17%3.27%2.57%3.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)605.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)243.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)361.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)121.0075.6345.38
Cash Retained (M)361.40361.40361.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-121.00-75.63-45.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)240.40285.78316.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)139.01139.01139.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.732.062.27
LTM Dividend per Share1.751.751.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.732.062.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.483.814.03
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$82.17$116.88$175.21
Upside / Downside-42.54%-18.27%22.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)605.00644.33686.21730.81778.31828.90853.77
Payout Ratio40.26%50.21%60.16%70.11%80.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)243.60323.53412.81512.34623.06746.01789.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)291.43294.19296.96
Year 2 PV (M)334.97341.35347.79
Year 3 PV (M)374.49385.24396.20
Year 4 PV (M)410.25426.02442.25
Year 5 PV (M)442.47463.85486.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,720.347,044.937,381.95
Equity Value (M)8,573.968,955.599,351.18
Shares Outstanding (M)139.01139.01139.01
Fair Value$61.68$64.42$67.27
Upside / Downside-56.87%-54.95%-52.96%

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