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Odfjell SE (O7F1.F)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.96 - $46.22$37.52
Multi-Stage$68.79 - $75.63$72.14
Blended Fair Value$54.83
Current Price$10.81
Upside407.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%2.171.630.440.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--33.27%268.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--24.97%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)192.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)140.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)52.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)38.5624.1014.46
Cash Retained (M)52.0152.0152.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-38.56-24.10-14.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.4527.9137.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)59.3059.3059.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.230.470.63
LTM Dividend per Share2.372.372.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.230.470.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.602.853.01
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$29.96$37.52$46.22
Upside / Downside177.19%247.07%327.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)192.81190.88188.98187.09185.22183.36188.86
Payout Ratio73.02%76.42%79.81%83.21%86.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)140.80145.87150.83155.67160.41165.03174.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)135.58136.96138.34
Year 2 PV (M)130.29132.96135.66
Year 3 PV (M)124.98128.85132.79
Year 4 PV (M)119.69124.65129.77
Year 5 PV (M)114.45120.41126.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,454.383,634.263,821.55
Equity Value (M)4,079.374,278.094,484.73
Shares Outstanding (M)59.3059.3059.30
Fair Value$68.79$72.14$75.63
Upside / Downside536.37%567.37%599.61%

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