Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Grupo KUO, S.A.B. de C.V. (KUOA.MX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$337.51 - $1,322.33$935.27
Multi-Stage$203.79 - $223.04$213.23
Blended Fair Value$574.25
Current Price$45.10
Upside1,173.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.66%10.20%0.870.000.960.860.440.440.750.610.450.35
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%10.97%96.66%0.00%-41.37%22.95%35.56%28.57%6.06%
Dividend Yield--1.85%0.00%2.05%1.73%0.87%0.90%1.58%1.49%1.15%1.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,061.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,978.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,082.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)612.29382.68229.61
Cash Retained (M)1,082.581,082.581,082.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-612.29-382.68-229.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)470.28699.89852.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)456.78456.78456.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.031.531.87
LTM Dividend per Share4.334.334.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.031.531.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.365.866.20
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate4.65%5.65%6.65%
Fair Value$337.51$935.27$1,322.33
Upside / Downside648.36%1,973.77%2,832.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,061.453,234.353,417.003,609.983,813.844,029.234,150.10
Payout Ratio64.64%69.71%74.78%79.86%84.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,978.882,254.692,555.342,882.763,239.013,626.313,838.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate4.65%5.65%6.65%
Year 1 PV (M)2,100.792,120.872,140.94
Year 2 PV (M)2,218.412,261.012,304.01
Year 3 PV (M)2,331.832,399.322,468.10
Year 4 PV (M)2,441.162,535.822,633.20
Year 5 PV (M)2,546.512,670.532,799.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)81,446.7785,413.3489,532.98
Equity Value (M)93,085.4797,400.89101,878.56
Shares Outstanding (M)456.78456.78456.78
Fair Value$203.79$213.23$223.04
Upside / Downside351.85%372.80%394.53%

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