Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Jackson Financial Inc. (JXN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - LifeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$48.97 - $68.57$58.73
Multi-Stage$71.96 - $78.83$75.33
Blended Fair Value$67.03
Current Price$101.23
Upside-33.78%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS-40.69%0.00%2.912.772.560.690.0039.646.208.270.000.00
YoY Growth--4.98%8.06%272.00%0.00%-100.00%538.89%-25.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.47%4.19%6.86%1.56%0.00%126.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)576.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)220.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)356.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)115.2072.0043.20
Cash Retained (M)356.00356.00356.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-115.20-72.00-43.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)240.80284.00312.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)72.5372.5372.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.323.924.31
LTM Dividend per Share3.033.033.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.323.924.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.356.957.35
WACC / Discount Rate10.71%10.71%10.71%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$48.97$58.73$68.57
Upside / Downside-51.62%-41.98%-32.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)576.00570.24564.54558.89553.30547.77564.20
Payout Ratio38.19%48.56%58.92%69.28%79.64%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)220.00276.88332.61387.19440.64492.99521.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.71%10.71%10.71%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)247.56250.09252.62
Year 2 PV (M)265.89271.35276.86
Year 3 PV (M)276.75285.31294.04
Year 4 PV (M)281.61293.28305.31
Year 5 PV (M)281.70296.37311.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,865.874,067.174,276.78
Equity Value (M)5,219.385,463.565,717.24
Shares Outstanding (M)72.5372.5372.53
Fair Value$71.96$75.33$78.83
Upside / Downside-28.91%-25.58%-22.13%

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