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Income Financial Trust (INC-UN.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.68 - $45.29$36.99
Multi-Stage$63.16 - $69.49$66.26
Blended Fair Value$51.63
Current Price$8.46
Upside510.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.44%0.41%0.771.011.180.880.490.721.111.150.840.78
YoY Growth---23.59%-14.38%33.35%80.46%-31.78%-35.28%-3.28%37.04%7.19%5.51%
Dividend Yield--8.93%13.84%10.17%5.87%6.32%7.91%11.11%7.06%5.93%6.93%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.31
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.221.390.83
Cash Retained (M)6.316.316.31
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.22-1.39-0.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.094.925.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.333.333.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.231.481.65
LTM Dividend per Share1.441.441.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.231.481.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.672.923.09
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$29.68$36.99$45.29
Upside / Downside250.86%337.23%435.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11.1111.0010.8910.7810.6810.5710.89
Payout Ratio43.23%52.59%61.94%71.29%80.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.805.796.757.698.619.5110.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5.365.425.47
Year 2 PV (M)5.795.916.03
Year 3 PV (M)6.126.316.50
Year 4 PV (M)6.356.616.88
Year 5 PV (M)6.506.847.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)180.00189.38199.14
Equity Value (M)210.12220.46231.21
Shares Outstanding (M)3.333.333.33
Fair Value$63.16$66.26$69.49
Upside / Downside646.53%683.25%721.45%

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