Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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The Hartford Dividend and Growth Fund Class C (HDGCX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$54.72 - $87.19$69.47
Multi-Stage$77.85 - $85.45$81.58
Blended Fair Value$75.53
Current Price$33.37
Upside126.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%9.43%1.061.020.980.930.880.000.660.650.610.55
YoY Growth--4.17%4.15%5.86%5.29%0.00%-100.00%2.10%5.70%12.06%26.46%
Dividend Yield--3.19%3.64%3.04%3.18%4.47%0.00%2.77%2.63%2.79%2.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,701.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)556.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,145.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)540.20337.63202.58
Cash Retained (M)2,145.002,145.002,145.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-540.20-337.63-202.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,604.801,807.381,942.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)516.18516.18516.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.113.503.76
LTM Dividend per Share1.081.081.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.113.503.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.194.584.84
WACC / Discount Rate8.29%8.29%8.29%
Growth Rate0.60%1.60%2.60%
Fair Value$54.72$69.47$87.19
Upside / Downside63.98%108.19%161.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,701.002,744.122,787.932,832.452,877.672,923.613,011.32
Payout Ratio20.58%34.47%48.35%62.23%76.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)556.00945.841,347.991,762.742,190.392,631.252,785.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.29%8.29%8.29%
Growth Rate0.60%1.60%2.60%
Year 1 PV (M)864.82873.42882.01
Year 2 PV (M)1,126.941,149.461,172.20
Year 3 PV (M)1,347.441,388.021,429.42
Year 4 PV (M)1,530.911,592.701,656.33
Year 5 PV (M)1,681.501,766.751,855.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)33,635.0335,340.3837,114.21
Equity Value (M)40,186.6442,110.7344,109.60
Shares Outstanding (M)516.18516.18516.18
Fair Value$77.85$81.58$85.45
Upside / Downside133.30%144.48%156.08%

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