Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Calamos Global Dynamic Income Fund (CHW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.36 - $19.44$16.30
Multi-Stage$23.77 - $26.05$24.89
Blended Fair Value$20.60
Current Price$6.45
Upside219.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-4.73%0.00%0.600.600.760.750.770.760.760.780.780.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-20.73%0.36%-1.61%0.29%0.99%-2.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.70%11.49%13.42%7.24%9.83%9.40%9.97%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)115.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)76.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)38.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23.0414.408.64
Cash Retained (M)38.5438.5438.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-23.04-14.40-8.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.5024.1429.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)63.8663.8663.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.380.47
LTM Dividend per Share1.201.201.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.380.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.441.581.67
WACC / Discount Rate8.58%8.58%8.58%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$13.36$16.30$19.44
Upside / Downside107.15%152.77%201.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)115.18114.03112.89111.76110.64109.54112.82
Payout Ratio66.54%71.23%75.92%80.62%85.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)76.6481.2385.7190.1094.3998.58104.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.58%8.58%8.58%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)74.0574.8175.56
Year 2 PV (M)71.2472.7074.17
Year 3 PV (M)68.2770.3872.53
Year 4 PV (M)65.2067.9070.69
Year 5 PV (M)62.0865.3168.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,177.161,238.451,302.28
Equity Value (M)1,517.991,589.551,663.91
Shares Outstanding (M)63.8663.8663.86
Fair Value$23.77$24.89$26.05
Upside / Downside268.51%285.88%303.93%

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