Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Ticker

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Sector

CF Bankshares Inc. (CFBK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$83.04 - $455.21$150.94
Multi-Stage$65.27 - $71.58$68.37
Blended Fair Value$109.65
Current Price$23.97
Upside357.46%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.260.230.180.130.030.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--9.35%28.01%35.97%334.87%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.16%1.20%0.93%0.60%0.15%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.212.011.21
Cash Retained (M)14.3214.3214.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.21-2.01-1.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.1012.3113.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.336.336.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.761.952.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.761.952.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.032.222.35
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate4.12%5.12%6.12%
Fair Value$83.04$150.94$455.21
Upside / Downside246.41%529.69%1,799.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16.0716.8917.7518.6619.6220.6221.24
Payout Ratio10.89%26.71%42.54%58.36%74.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.754.517.5510.8914.5518.5619.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate4.12%5.12%6.12%
Year 1 PV (M)4.194.234.27
Year 2 PV (M)6.516.646.76
Year 3 PV (M)8.728.979.23
Year 4 PV (M)10.8211.2411.68
Year 5 PV (M)12.8113.4414.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)369.89388.00406.81
Equity Value (M)412.94432.52452.84
Shares Outstanding (M)6.336.336.33
Fair Value$65.27$68.37$71.58
Upside / Downside172.31%185.22%198.62%

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