Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Chase Corporation (CCF)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$76.87 - $190.34$115.02
Multi-Stage$65.05 - $71.06$68.00
Blended Fair Value$91.51
Current Price$126.50
Upside-27.66%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS4.85%10.11%1.011.000.800.800.800.790.690.630.580.43
YoY Growth--0.42%25.18%0.24%0.23%0.33%14.77%8.88%9.53%33.81%12.88%
Dividend Yield--0.79%1.05%0.81%0.75%0.68%0.70%0.55%0.79%1.30%1.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)33.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.644.152.49
Cash Retained (M)14.1814.1814.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.64-4.15-2.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.5510.0311.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.459.459.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.801.061.24
LTM Dividend per Share2.012.012.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.801.061.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.813.073.25
WACC / Discount Rate8.28%8.28%8.28%
Growth Rate4.46%5.46%6.46%
Fair Value$76.87$115.02$190.34
Upside / Downside-39.23%-9.07%50.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)33.1834.9936.9038.9241.0443.2844.58
Payout Ratio57.26%63.81%70.36%76.90%83.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.0022.3325.9629.9334.2538.9541.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.28%8.28%8.28%
Growth Rate4.46%5.46%6.46%
Year 1 PV (M)20.4320.6220.82
Year 2 PV (M)21.7322.1522.57
Year 3 PV (M)22.9123.5824.26
Year 4 PV (M)23.9924.9225.88
Year 5 PV (M)24.9626.1827.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)500.89525.33550.71
Equity Value (M)614.91642.77671.68
Shares Outstanding (M)9.459.459.45
Fair Value$65.05$68.00$71.06
Upside / Downside-48.58%-46.25%-43.83%

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