Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Baker Hughes Company (BKR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$77.46 - $247.96$125.04
Multi-Stage$50.87 - $55.58$53.19
Blended Fair Value$89.11
Current Price$48.72
Upside82.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.18%11.60%0.840.790.730.590.490.400.320.160.000.30
YoY Growth--6.36%8.26%22.64%21.31%23.54%25.40%103.23%0.00%-100.00%6.45%
Dividend Yield--1.91%2.36%2.53%1.63%2.27%3.78%1.14%0.56%0.00%0.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,891.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)891.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,000.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)578.20361.38216.83
Cash Retained (M)2,000.002,000.002,000.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-578.20-361.38-216.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,421.801,638.631,783.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)995.25995.25995.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.431.651.79
LTM Dividend per Share0.900.900.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.431.651.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.322.542.69
WACC / Discount Rate8.66%8.66%8.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$77.46$125.04$247.96
Upside / Downside59.00%156.65%408.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,891.003,078.923,279.043,492.183,719.173,960.924,079.75
Payout Ratio30.82%42.66%54.49%66.33%78.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)891.001,313.341,786.812,316.292,907.053,564.833,773.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.66%8.66%8.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,197.261,208.611,219.96
Year 2 PV (M)1,484.931,513.221,541.77
Year 3 PV (M)1,754.831,805.201,856.53
Year 4 PV (M)2,007.742,084.952,164.37
Year 5 PV (M)2,244.432,352.842,465.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)41,942.3843,968.2246,071.58
Equity Value (M)50,631.5852,933.0455,319.61
Shares Outstanding (M)995.25995.25995.25
Fair Value$50.87$53.19$55.58
Upside / Downside4.42%9.17%14.09%

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