Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Fundamentals

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Alaris Equity Partners Income Trust (AD-UN.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$85.12 - $336.45$144.81
Multi-Stage$73.19 - $80.15$76.61
Blended Fair Value$110.71
Current Price$19.13
Upside478.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.51%3.31%1.351.341.301.190.901.311.291.281.281.15
YoY Growth--0.20%3.48%8.89%32.12%-31.24%1.97%0.29%0.33%11.80%17.70%
Dividend Yield--7.00%7.95%7.75%5.91%5.68%15.92%6.07%7.84%5.74%4.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)134.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)61.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)72.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)26.8016.7510.05
Cash Retained (M)72.0172.0172.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-26.80-16.75-10.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)45.2155.2661.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)45.9545.9545.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.981.201.35
LTM Dividend per Share1.351.351.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.981.201.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.332.552.70
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate3.97%4.97%5.97%
Fair Value$85.12$144.81$336.45
Upside / Downside344.96%657.00%1,658.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)134.00140.66147.65155.00162.70170.79175.92
Payout Ratio46.26%55.01%63.76%72.50%81.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)61.9977.3794.14112.38132.20153.71162.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate3.97%4.97%5.97%
Year 1 PV (M)71.7472.4373.12
Year 2 PV (M)80.9382.5084.08
Year 3 PV (M)89.5892.1994.85
Year 4 PV (M)97.71101.53105.45
Year 5 PV (M)105.35110.51115.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,917.913,060.963,209.56
Equity Value (M)3,363.233,520.123,682.94
Shares Outstanding (M)45.9545.9545.95
Fair Value$73.19$76.61$80.15
Upside / Downside282.62%300.46%318.99%

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