Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

KYB Corporation (7242.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,340.14 - $10,567.71$8,203.36
Multi-Stage$11,891.05 - $13,082.34$12,475.13
Blended Fair Value$10,339.25
Current Price$3,925.00
Upside163.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%8.82%120.43137.0186.2467.010.000.0041.3972.4156.9062.09
YoY Growth---12.10%58.86%28.71%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-42.84%27.26%-8.35%20.00%
Dividend Yield--4.04%5.03%3.42%4.33%0.00%0.00%2.62%2.87%1.98%3.77%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)26,852.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,361.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)20,491.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,370.403,356.502,013.90
Cash Retained (M)20,491.0020,491.0020,491.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,370.40-3,356.50-2,013.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)15,120.6017,134.5018,477.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.3849.3849.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share306.19346.97374.16
LTM Dividend per Share128.81128.81128.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share306.19346.97374.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend435.00475.78502.97
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-0.30%0.70%1.70%
Fair Value$6,340.14$8,203.36$10,567.71
Upside / Downside61.53%109.00%169.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)26,852.0027,039.1927,227.6927,417.5127,608.6427,801.1128,635.14
Payout Ratio23.69%36.95%50.21%63.48%76.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,361.009,991.3313,671.9717,403.4421,186.2725,021.0026,487.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-0.30%0.70%1.70%
Year 1 PV (M)9,285.119,378.249,471.37
Year 2 PV (M)11,807.5112,045.5612,285.99
Year 3 PV (M)13,967.7314,392.2614,825.31
Year 4 PV (M)15,801.8816,445.4817,108.54
Year 5 PV (M)17,342.9318,230.3419,153.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)519,012.29545,569.17573,202.19
Equity Value (M)587,217.44616,061.05646,047.11
Shares Outstanding (M)49.3849.3849.38
Fair Value$11,891.05$12,475.13$13,082.34
Upside / Downside202.96%217.84%233.31%

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