Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ticker

Industry

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Star Asia Investment Corporation (3468.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$101,191.46 - $246,391.54$150,603.43
Multi-Stage$126,899.89 - $138,998.85$132,836.10
Blended Fair Value$141,719.77
Current Price$58,700.00
Upside141.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS5.68%0.00%1,815.392,646.512,186.902,022.812,182.311,377.401,317.011,397.61557.160.00
YoY Growth---31.40%21.02%8.11%-7.31%58.44%4.59%-5.77%150.84%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.09%4.66%3.80%3.41%3.61%3.25%2.25%2.60%1.11%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,030.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,424.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,606.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,406.191,503.87902.32
Cash Retained (M)2,606.382,606.382,606.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,406.19-1,503.87-902.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)200.191,102.511,704.06
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.522.522.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share79.53437.98676.95
LTM Dividend per Share3,743.973,743.973,743.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share79.53437.98676.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,823.504,181.954,420.92
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate2.60%3.60%4.60%
Fair Value$101,191.46$150,603.43$246,391.54
Upside / Downside72.39%156.56%319.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,030.9312,464.5512,913.8013,379.2513,861.4614,361.0614,791.89
Payout Ratio78.34%80.67%83.00%85.33%87.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,424.5510,055.0110,718.6711,417.1012,151.9612,924.9613,682.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate2.60%3.60%4.60%
Year 1 PV (M)9,351.859,443.009,534.14
Year 2 PV (M)9,271.959,453.579,636.94
Year 3 PV (M)9,185.479,456.679,733.15
Year 4 PV (M)9,093.009,452.719,822.98
Year 5 PV (M)8,995.099,442.059,906.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)273,543.05287,135.44301,262.86
Equity Value (M)319,440.42334,383.43349,896.69
Shares Outstanding (M)2.522.522.52
Fair Value$126,899.89$132,836.10$138,998.85
Upside / Downside116.18%126.30%136.80%

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